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USA Gymnastics rings the Nasdaq closing bell (John Nacion/Getty Images)
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Nasdaq is (finally) cracking down on reverse stock splits

Penny stocks' favorite feat of financial engineering is about to get a little bit harder.

Jack Raines

Over the last couple of years, you may have seen a stock chart that looks something like this, where the current price is down 90% or more from a peak of more than $1,000 per share.

But this chart is deceiving: Nikola Motors was never worth $1,977 per share. In an effort to stay listed on the Nasdaq, Nikola issued a 1-30 reverse stock split after its stock price collapsed below $1, a practice that has become increasingly popular over the last few years.

For context, stock exchanges like the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) have continued listing standards for companies whose shares trade on their exchanges, and of the main requirements is a share price above $1. When a company’s share price closes below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the Nasdaq issues the company a noncompliance warning and gives it 180 days to remedy the situation. However, a delinquent company can request another 180 day grace period when the first period ends, effectively giving it a year to increase its share price. Given that companies can stay listed below $1 for a while, many have, and as of last Thursday, there were 509 stocks listed on US exchanges trading below $1 per share, with 421 of those listed on the Nasdaq. For reference, there were fewer than 12 sub-$1 stocks in the US in early 2021.

Unsurprisingly, companies whose share prices have declined below $1 tend to continue declining, so, to maintain their listings, they have turned to one of the more interesting feats of financial engineering: reverse splits.

Normal stock splits are typically viewed as a positive sign. Companies that have witnessed their share prices climb to the hundreds (or thousands) of dollars often announce stock splits (see Nvidia in 2021 and again in 2024) to maintain a more accessible price.

Reverse splits, however, tend to signal a struggling stock. While General Electric’s stock has done well since its 2021 1-for-8 reverse split, it wasn’t facing delisting warnings, and this move may have been a precursor to the conglomerate’s decision to later split into three separate companies.

A reverse split to avoid delisting usually means the company couldn’t do anything else to keep its stock price above $1. Reverse split volume has continued to increase as more companies’ stock prices slid below $1, with companies carrying out 495 reverse splits in 2023, compared to 102 in 2021.

Last month, electronic trading firm Virtu Financial filed a petition with the SEC asking the Nasdaq to adopt stricter listing requirements:

The bottom line is that current SEC rules that allow high-risk penny stocks to be listed on major stock exchanges present serious investor protection concerns. We believe that it is long past due for the Commission to take a fresh look at its rules around the listing of such securities and ensure that investors are armed with the information they need to assess the investment risks. 

One of Virtu’s primary concerns is that the proliferation of reverse splits threatens to confuse retail investors, with the price increases disguising investment risks. It looks like Nasdaq took notice, and last week, The Wall Street Journal reported that Nasdaq had submitted rule changes to accelerate delistings:

Under one of the proposed changes, companies that reach the end of their second 180-day grace period wouldn’t be able to postpone delisting by seeking an appeal. Instead, their shares would move to the over-the-counter market—a sort of purgatory where companies land after being delisted—while they await the appeal. Effectively, the rule change caps the amount of time that sub-$1 stocks can be listed on Nasdaq to roughly a year.

The second proposed rule change would speed up the delisting process for companies that recently did a reverse stock split. Under the change, if a company carried out a reverse split to prop up its share price, but then its stock fell below $1 within a year, Nasdaq would immediately send the company a delisting notice.

This is, to me, a long-overdue change. The idea that a company facing delisting could simply change its stock price without an improvement in the underlying business felt a bit… scummy. 

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JPMorgan strategists led by Arun Jain flagged that Bloom’s net imbalance — the balance of buying versus selling among retail traders — was exceptionally negative as of 11 a.m. ET, even worse than during its double-digit drop on Wednesday.

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The fuel cell company, which counts Oracle among its customers, eclipsed a market cap in excess of $20 billion earlier this week despite generating less than $2 billion in sales over the past year.

Wall Street began to sound some alarm bells about the extent of Bloom’s run this week, with Jefferies downgrading its rating for the stock to “underperform” from “hold” on Wednesday while Bank of America analysts wrote, “We are still not buying into BEs AI hype.”

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Duolingo posted a solid gain Thursday, the latest in a series of relatively light-on-news moves in the stock this month as it has regained some attention among options-trading retail investors.

There was a story in China’s official China Daily where executives laid out their plans for the language-learning app’s push into the People’s Republic, which has been a focus of Wall Street analysts on recent post-earnings conference calls.

China, where the company began doing business in 2018, is Duolingo’s fastest-growing market for its language-learning app. It’s also the largest source of test takers for its Duolingo English Test proficiency exam business, a recent focus for management spotlighted in its recent Duocon product announcements.

It’s hard to say if the China Daily story is the reason for today’s upswing in the stock, but given the necessities of working within a country controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, a relatively favorable story appearing in its international propaganda organ suggests a relatively healthy working relationship is developing there.

China, where the company began doing business in 2018, is Duolingo’s fastest-growing market for its language-learning app. It’s also the largest source of test takers for its Duolingo English Test proficiency exam business, a recent focus for management spotlighted in its recent Duocon product announcements.

It’s hard to say if the China Daily story is the reason for today’s upswing in the stock, but given the necessities of working within a country controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, a relatively favorable story appearing in its international propaganda organ suggests a relatively healthy working relationship is developing there.

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Oklo dives after insider sale

Oklo dove Thursday after an SEC filing showed company director Michael Klein sold some $6.7 million in stock in transactions that, importantly, were not part of a pre-set insider sales plan.

Wall Street analysts forecast that the nuclear power startup will make losses for years to come. But the company’s ties to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, who served as Oklo’s chairman until April, have helped make the stock a favorite of retail traders and a popular momentum play.

Even after today’s stumble, it’s up more than 400% this year and nearly 1,300% over the past 12 months.

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