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“Numbers are now going to have come down across the tech world”: Dan Ives

It’s China.

Matt Phillips

Yeesh. Major large-cap tech indexes are down big early, with market bellwethers like Nvidia and Apple down sharply premarket. Semiconductors may be exempt from the tariffs, but consumer tech isn’t and it’s getting creamed today. Once again, Wedbush’s Dan Ives has the most succinct summary of precisely what is the nature of the tariff issue for Big Tech.

It’s the massive tariffs on China, he wrote:

“China exposed names like Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, TSMC, and a host of other tech and supply chain names will be the most under pressure as worries about this China 34% tariff (could be 54% when adding the baseline) and 32% Taiwan tariff are almost hard to look at. No matter what the White House says... basic economic theory over the last 100 years tells you one person pays these tariffs... the US consumer... it's not a debate.

Numbers are now going to have come down across the tech world as just the sheer uncertainty from this tariff announcement heard around the world will cause some IT budgets to freeze and C-level management to figure out their own supply chain and how to navigate this near-term Category 5 hurricane.”

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Retail traders are “skipping the dip” this time

Here’s one noteworthy feature of the recent market downturn that has the S&P 500 poised for its worst week since reciprocal tariffs were announced in early April: retail traders seemingly aren’t eager to buy the weakness in single stocks the way they used to be.

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain has flagged that retail traders instead appear to be “skipping the dip.”

“In contrast to the behavior observed during the post-Liberation Day selloff, retail investors did not seize the opportunity to buy-the-dip on Tuesday, with a few exceptions such as META,” he wrote of the day where the benchmark US stock index fell 1.2%. “In fact, they scaled back their ETF purchases and turned net sellers in single stocks.”

Then on Thursday, when the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, Jain projected that retail traders sold $261 million in single stocks. Through noon ET on Friday, his daily outflow estimate stands at $851 million.

With that intel, it’s little wonder why the carnage this week has been particularly intense in more speculative single stocks that had been favored by the retail community, including IREN, IonQ, Rigetti, Cipher Mining, Bloom Energy, and Oklo.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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