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“Numbers are now going to have come down across the tech world”: Dan Ives

It’s China.

Matt Phillips

Yeesh. Major large-cap tech indexes are down big early, with market bellwethers like Nvidia and Apple down sharply premarket. Semiconductors may be exempt from the tariffs, but consumer tech isn’t and it’s getting creamed today. Once again, Wedbush’s Dan Ives has the most succinct summary of precisely what is the nature of the tariff issue for Big Tech.

It’s the massive tariffs on China, he wrote:

“China exposed names like Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, TSMC, and a host of other tech and supply chain names will be the most under pressure as worries about this China 34% tariff (could be 54% when adding the baseline) and 32% Taiwan tariff are almost hard to look at. No matter what the White House says... basic economic theory over the last 100 years tells you one person pays these tariffs... the US consumer... it's not a debate.

Numbers are now going to have come down across the tech world as just the sheer uncertainty from this tariff announcement heard around the world will cause some IT budgets to freeze and C-level management to figure out their own supply chain and how to navigate this near-term Category 5 hurricane.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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