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Luke Kawa

JPMorgan recommends bullish options bet on Nvidia ahead of earnings

Nvidia, the most valuable stock in the world, has lagged its semiconductor peers over the past three months in the run-up to its fiscal 2026 third-quarter results, due out after Wednesday’s close.

JPMorgan reckons an earnings beat, as well as signs that the company and its suppliers are well positioned to meet the ever-growing demand for its AI offerings, would be sufficient catalysts to unlock a catch-up trade that sends shares soaring back toward all-time highs.

“We favor owning call spreads as a strong beat-and-raise from NVDA and positive commentary around supply could clear recent sector underperformance and could propel NVDA above its average historical move,” wrote Bram Kaplan, head of America equity derivatives strategy at JPM.

The recommendation:

  • Buy calls at a strike price of $197.50 for this Friday’s expiry; and

  • Sell the same amount of calls at a strike price of $207.50 for the same expiry.

The options-implied move is plus or minus ~6.4%. To break even on this position (by the time of expiry, based on current prices), you’d need to see shares up above $199.30.

The chip designer has traded between ~$180 and $210 since the end of September. So, the upper strike on this call spread caps the upside a little below the stock’s October 29 intraday peak of $212.19.

The max gain would be roughly 550% of the premium paid; the max loss, of course, would be 100%.

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Luke Kawa
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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

Luke Kawa
7/2/26
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Meta surges on report it’s starting a cloud business to sell excess AI compute

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Paige Oamek

Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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