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Palantir Earnings CEO Alex Karp
(Fabrice Coffrini/Getty Images)

Palantir beats Q4 earnings and sales expectations, stock surges

The numbers are in.

Defense, intelligence, and AI software giant Palantir Technologies reported Q4 numbers that blew past expectations after the close of trading on Monday.

The company, which exploded as a favorite of retail traders in 2024, reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.25 vs. Wall Street expectations for $0.23.

  • Sales of $1.41 billion vs. an expected $1.34 billion, per FactSet data.

  • Q4 2025 sales growth of 70% year over year vs. a 62% Wall Street expectation.

Looking forward, Palantir forecast:

  • Q1 2026 revenue in the range of $1.532 billion to $1.536 billion, vs. Wall Street expectations for $1.33 billion.

  • Full-year 2026 revenue in the range of $7.182 billion to $7.198 billion, vs. Wall Street expectations for $6.30 billion.

  • Q1 2026 adjusted operating income between $870 million to $874 million, vs. an expectation for $641 million.

  • Full-year 2026 adjusted operating income between $4.126 billion and $4.142 billion, vs. expectations for $3.14 billion, according to FactSet.  

On the company’s earnings call with analysts, Alex Karp — Palantir’s bombastic CEO — called the Q4 results “one of the truly iconic performances in the history of corporate performance.”

Palantir shares jumped in aftermarket trading following the results.

That’s something of a shift, as Palantir seemed to have lost some of its cachet among retail investors in recent months, even as its operational performance has been increasingly impressive.

Just a few months back, the company’s fairly stellar Q3 numbers were received with a Bronx cheer from traders who dumped the stock in the days after the print. It remains down roughly 25% from the all-time high it hit back in early November, a period over which the major indexes were more or less flat.

That’s no skin off the noses of long-time holders. Over the last three years, Palantir is still up 1,500% or so.

On the other hand, that remarkable run-up essentially means that lots of gob-smackingly good quarterly results have already been priced into the shares.

And with new retail darlings like Sandisk — it’s more than tripled since Palantir’s slump set in — offering short-term traders the prospect of making fast money, it might take more than strong, but priced-in, profits to reinvigorate retail interest. But by the look of the market reaction, Palantir’s numbers are raising retail eyebrows once again.

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Chicago Bulls player Michael Jordan is surrounded by NBA Championship trophies after his team defeated the Utah Jazz 90-86 to win the 1997 NBA Finals at the United Center in Chicago, IL.

Stock climb on US-Iran peace deal; semiconductors rally

This morning, President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war.

markets

Intel surges after Trump announces US chip deal with Apple

Intel is soaring in early trading after President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that Apple has agreed to work with the semiconductor giant to design and manufacture its chips domestically.

President Trump positioned the agreement as the latest victory for his administration’s industrial policy after the federal government acquired a 9.9% equity stake in Intel last year.

"Stupid Presidents took our Economy for granted, and let Taiwan and others steal our Semiconductor Factories," Trump wrote in the post. "We design everything, but we need to BUILD it here, NOW! So I decided to help Intel because we need to design and build our Chips right here in America... and, finally, Apple has agreed to work with Intel to design and build its Chips in America."

Intel reportedly reached a preliminary agreement back in May to manufacture chips for the Apple, which has been facing supply constraints for its iPhone as well other products. The deal could help Apple reduce its reliance on longtime partner TSMC by bringing more of its chip manufacturing stateside.

"This partnership helps Apple with chip development and manufacturing on US soil with greater focus on reducing dependence on Asian manufacturing facilities." Wedbush's Dan Ives commented in a company report. He has a $400 price target for Apple this year.

The timing aligns with Intel's technical roadmap. Earlier this week, Intel confirmed that its advanced, performance-boosted 18A-P process node officially entered its risk production phase. This move serves as a blueprint for both Intel chips and processors the company plans to build for foundry customers.

“The current capacity crunch is probably emboldening customers to give Intel a harder look at this stage than perhaps they might ordinarily be inclined to do as the prospect of more advanced capacity will take on higher value in a constrained environment,” wrote Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon. “We are sure that Trump’s encouragement is at least not going to hurt though.”

Momentum was built around Intel Foundry services as surging global AI demand continuously outpaced capacity. Earlier this month, Google reportedly placed an order with Intel to manufacture more than 3 million of its increasingly popular tensor processing unit chips in 2028. According to the report, Nvidia is also testing to see if Intel could manufacture its next-gen Feynman chips.

markets

Stocks rise after US, Iran sign peace plan

Stocks rose Thursday morning after President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war, in another sign that a months-long war that caused energy prices to spike could be coming to an end.

Trump signed the MOU before a dinner in Versailles, France on Wednesday evening. The president previously announced that a deal had been reached on Sunday evening, saying that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz would resume and that the US naval blockade would be lifted.

The deal comes after both sides exchanged attacks last week, escalating tensions to some of the highest levels since the US and Israel struck Iran in late February.

The price of Brent Crude ticked even lower after dropping on Sunday, sitting at about $76 a barrel. Oil giants like Shell, Chevron and Exxon fell on the news, as average gas prices in the US dropped below $4 for the first time in months.

Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.9% and 1.5%, respectively. Last week, inflation readings for May showed both wholesale inflation and consumer prices rose in large part because of higher energy costs.

Signs of the peace deal have also lead to buying of momentum stocks this week. iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETFrose another 1.46% in premarket trading.

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