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Palantir’s share surge bends Wall Street’s view

Wall Street’s well-entrenched skepticism on Palantir’s share price is bending under the stress of the stock’s remarkable continued surge.

The stock is up more than 20% this week after busting through analyst expectations in its Q4 earnings report Monday.

(The rise has generated roughly $40 billion in market cap and paper wealth.)

Since the numbers were released, several analysts have conceded that the share price can keep going higher over the short term, despite tough-to-justify valuations.

As a result, Wall Street’s consensus target rating on the shares has risen from about $45 at the end of December to almost $87 on Wednesday, which is about 15% below where the stock is trading as of writing.

But analysts — for the most part — are dragging their feet on taking the larger step of upgrading the stock to a “buy.” Just 5 of 23 analysts captured by FactSet data are sufficiently bullish to do so, though that’s two more than a month ago.

Since the numbers were released, several analysts have conceded that the share price can keep going higher over the short term, despite tough-to-justify valuations.

As a result, Wall Street’s consensus target rating on the shares has risen from about $45 at the end of December to almost $87 on Wednesday, which is about 15% below where the stock is trading as of writing.

But analysts — for the most part — are dragging their feet on taking the larger step of upgrading the stock to a “buy.” Just 5 of 23 analysts captured by FactSet data are sufficiently bullish to do so, though that’s two more than a month ago.

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AST SpaceMobile soars again, up 80% in October

Another day, another giant gain for satellite services provider AST SpaceMobile, which continues to get a lift from its announcement earlier this week that it has signed a deal with telecom giant Verizon to provide some cellular broadband services from its satellites by 2026.

Retail enthusiasm for the stock, despite the fact that it has posted growing losses over the last four years, is high, helped out by a fair amount of online boosterism.

JPMorgan analysts have AST on their list of “most hyped stocks on social media,” which it included in its “Retail Radar” note published Thursday. A quick glance at Wall Street Bets or volumes of call options — which hit their highest level in over a year yesterday — would seem to confirm retail participation.

It’s been a good trade. AST SpaceMobile is up more than 2,500% over the last two years, a rally that has created more than $20 billion in stock market wealth. To the moon, indeed.

$8.5T

Analysts at consulting firm Pantheon Macroeconomics estimate that the stock market’s enthusiasm for all things AI has added some $8.5 trillion to aggregate US household wealth since late 2022. They wrote:

“The S&P 500 returned about 70% between the start of ChatGPT mania around the end of 2022 to the end of Q2 2025, with roughly half of those returns generated by the ‘magnificent seven’ tech stocks, a very rough proxy for the stock market boost from AI euphoria.

We estimate that translates into a lift to household wealth held in stocks of about $8.5T.”

As my colleague Luke Kawa recently wrote, stock market wealth seems to be underpinning US consumer spending, especially among the richest Americans. Some of that spending may retrench if AI is indeed a bubble — as some have recently mooted — and eventually pops.

markets

Serve Robotics spikes after announcing multiyear partnership with DoorDash for deliveries

Serve Robotics is spiking in early trading after the maker of sidewalk delivery robots and DoorDash announced a “multi-year strategic partnership to roll out autonomous robot vehicles across the US,” starting with Los Angeles.

Serve already does restaurant deliveries in Los Angeles (as well as Miami, Dallas, Chicago, and Atlanta) thanks to its partnership with Uber Eats.

DoorDash, for its part, already utilizes Coco Robotics to deliver food in Los Angeles and Chicago. Last week, it debuted its own delivery robot called “Dot,” which can operate on roads and sidewalks and is designed for suburban environments, per the company. Dot will initially be trialed in Tempe and Mesa, Arizona.

Read more: A day in the life of a Serve food-delivery robot

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