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Luke Kawa

Quantum-computing stocks are having their best week ever and it’s only Tuesday morning

Quantum computing is stealing mindshare from AI and crypto as the hot new investable theme following Alphabet’s computational breakthrough, fueling surges in the likes of IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing.

All of these are relatively small companies (by the standard of, say, S&P 500 companies), but still have market caps in excess of $1 billion. And those market caps are swelling very rapidly.

This group of four pure-play quantum-computing stocks has added $4 billion in market capitalization this week, the largest weekly increase in value for the group on record, which is worth about $11 billion as of December 13. And we’re not even halfway through Tuesday’s trading day.

Even Citron Research’s attempt to pour some cold water on Rigetti Computing’s rally last week lasted all of about an hour, with the company already up another 50% since then.

I’m not entirely sure what the total addressable market or visibility to a ramp in revenues looks like for these firms, but one thing I am very sure of: they’ve got support from option flow that would have been unimaginable one year ago.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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