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Rivian drops on a downgrade and lowered price target from Mizuho amid weaker expected EV sales

Analysts are beginning to have doubts about US demand for EVs next year, following the expiration of the $7,500 tax credit.

Shares of Rivian dropped in premarket trading on Monday, following a downgrade of the stock from Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh from “neutral” to “underperform.” Rakesh also lowered his price target for Rivian from $14 to $10.

Looking ahead, Mizuho expects Rivian to deliver 60,000 vehicles in 2026. That’s about 38% above the EV maker’s current top target for this year, but still significantly below the 71,000 delivery consensus estimate of analysts polled by FactSet.

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Opendoor price target raised to a Wall Street high of $6 at Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley analysts raised their price target on Opendoor Technologies to the highest on Wall Street. However... they’re still not actually bullish on the online real estate company.

In a wide-ranging note on internet stocks as the Q3 earnings season heats up, analysts Brian Nowak and Matthew Cost (who covers Opendoor) wrote:

“While we see limited fundamental justification for OPEN’s recent outperformance, we also see the opportunity for a pivot back to home-buying (and significant operating leverage) should there be a stronger housing market recovery. Moreover, similar situations with other stocks have shown that higher valuations are not only often more sustainable than expected, but also create the opportunity for companies to raise capital and address challenges with the support of an enthusiastic shareholder base. With that in mind we mark our base case price target to market at $6.”

Morgan Stanley’s previous price target was $2. Analysts kept their “market perform” (or “hold”) rating on the company intact.

The obvious corollary here is GameStop, a company that has had a high value ascribed to the value of its cash based on the idea that CEO Ryan Cohen would be able to do a lot to transform the company with that money. Opendoor bulls are similarly enthused by the company’s turnaround prospects under its new management. Its biggest one-day gain on record came after news that cofounders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu were being added to the board of directors and that Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian was coming in to serve as CEO.

GameStop, without doing anything too revolutionary, has managed to turn around its business since its initial run as a meme stock, and has now strung together five consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flows for the first time in its history.

The sell side is pretty downbeat on Opendoor, with just one “buy” (or “buy equivalent), five “hold,” and five “sell” ratings among analysts tracked by Bloomberg.

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Moderna rises on study suggesting COVID-19 shot enhances efficacy of cancer treatment

Moderna rose more than 5% on Monday after a new study showed that mRNA COVID-19 shots could enhance cancer immunotherapy.

The results were presented by researchers from MD Anderson Cancer Center at the European Society for Medical Oncology conference in Berlin on Sunday, Stat News and others reported. The study found that cancer patients who took the COVID-19 shot within 100 days of taking an immunotherapy drug lived longer.

Moderna was tapped by the first Trump administration alongside Pfizer to quickly develop an immunization for Covid in 2020. Moderna still makes nearly all of its revenue from the vaccine while Pfizer has a larger, more diversified portfolio. Moderna has other products in its pipeline, including a dual flu and COVID-19 vaccine and personalized cancer vaccines.

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Apple is at an all-time high

Apple is trading at an intraday all-time high stock price of $263.50 as of 11:45 am EST, after an upgrade from Loop Capital to a Street high price target of $315 and following positive sales growth indicators for its iPhone 17.

Apple’s all-time close was $259.02 on December 24, 2024, the same day as its last intraday high. Analysts expect iPhone revenue to return to growth this year and next.

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Bullish options activity lifts Joby and Archer as investors react to Archer’s UAE certification delay

Shares of air taxi maker Joby Aviation rose more than 5% early on Monday morning as the company received lots of love in the options market amid a Bloomberg report that rival Archer Aviation will likely not be certified for passenger flights in the UAE before next year.

According to Bloomberg, Archer’s certification review process in the UAE is taking longer than expected. The company previously said its goal date for its first passenger flight was “later this year,” but that timeline is now omitted from its website.

As of 10:15 a.m. ET, about 9,000 call options in Joby have changed hands. While Joby tends to see bullish options activity, Monday’s trading was particularly skewed toward calls with a put/call ratio of 0.14, significantly below the 10-day average ratio of 0.38.

Investors don’t appear to be taking Archer’s likely delay too hard, either. The electric vertical takeoff and landing (or eVTOL) company is up more than 2% on Monday as of 10:19 a.m. ET, with more than 28,000 call options changing hands (about 4x the number of puts).

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Space stocks rise and shine in early trading

AST SpaceMobile, RocketLab, and Planet Labs were all up early Monday, despite little news linked specifically to these — all money-losing — space launch and satellite services that have become popular among the retail trading crowd.

More broadly, however, there is report of a big merger of satellite businesses operated by European aerospace and defense giants Airbus, Thales, and Leonardo in order to create a European satellite monopoly.

The new satellite entity would be aimed in part at reducing European reliance on Elon Musk’s privately held SpaceX, as Musk has come to be seen as an capricious and unreliable partner as a result of his flirtation with international far-right politics and his posture toward Ukraine.

While it’s a bit of a bank shot, some of the upstart companies like RocketLab — which have also positioned themselves as a SpaceX alternative — may be up on the theory that what’s bad for Musk and SpaceX may well be good for them.

The new satellite entity would be aimed in part at reducing European reliance on Elon Musk’s privately held SpaceX, as Musk has come to be seen as an capricious and unreliable partner as a result of his flirtation with international far-right politics and his posture toward Ukraine.

While it’s a bit of a bank shot, some of the upstart companies like RocketLab — which have also positioned themselves as a SpaceX alternative — may be up on the theory that what’s bad for Musk and SpaceX may well be good for them.

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