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Robinhood results to shed light on volatile quarter

The stock plunged nearly 50% during the market rout before bouncing over 40% after Trump’s tariff pause.

Matt Phillips

Stock and crypto brokerage app Robinhood Markets is on the docket for earnings Wednesday after the close. (Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc.)

The first quarter was a volatile one for the company. In February, it reported strong Q4 results that sent shares to a post-IPO high of more than $65 on Valentine’s Day. A few days later, the tariff-related sell-off for stocks and crypto began, with no reprieve for HOOD.

Between February 14 and April 8 — the day before President Trump announced a “pause” on tariffs — Robinhood plunged nearly 50%. Then came the April 9 tariff pause, which catapulted the stock back up, along with the broader markets.

The hive mind of sell-side analysts expects the company to report $0.33 a share on revenues of $920 million. Those expectations have seen a major reduction, more than 20% off the highs hit in the immediate aftermath of February earnings. Over the same period, profit estimates for the S&P 500 as a whole came under the knife by less than 2%.

Of course, the reaction of the stock Wednesday could be cued by the color of trading activity at Robinhood so far this month, per JPMorgan analysts.

“We expect positive commentary around the robust activity in early April as retail was often cited as net buyers in the first week post-U.S. tariff announcements,” they wrote in a note Tuesday.

Disappointing such expectations can result in jarring moves for shares.

Interactive Brokers dove 9% on April 16, after it reported results, and executives told analysts that they’d seen a decline in margin loans in early April.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.