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Luke Kawa

Semi stocks start the week soft as White House reportedly plans stronger curbs on China’s access to AI chips

Semiconductor stocks are in the red on the heels of a report from Bloomberg that the Trump administration is cracking down on China’s ability to access AI chips via Malaysia and Thailand by curbing those countries’ ability to access those processors as well.

Nvidia was off as much as 1% in premarket trading.

Previously, Malaysia had reportedly received a pointed request from the US to monitor shipments of incoming chips to make sure they didn’t eventually end up in China in violation of export controls.

These potential measures would be part of an overhaul to the previous administration’s approach to managing exports of powerful chips around the world. In its final days, Biden administration unveiled a framework called the AI diffusion rule that restricted the ability of China and other “countries of concern” to access semiconductors, sending those stocks into a tailspin.

Reports on the Trump administration’s plans to scrap this Biden-era rule helped give semi stocks a lift and paved the way for the many multibillion-dollar deals signed between US tech firms and Saudi Arabian entities back in May.

Last Thursday, shares in companies that help chip companies make chips jumped after the Commerce Department told them they no longer needed to secure licenses to do business in China. While that was a seeming thaw of the trade war on its most contentious front — advanced technology — this Bloomberg report appears to underscore that when it comes to the bleeding edge of semiconductors that facilitate the AI boom, the US is still very much playing a game of keep-away with China.

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American Eagle posts stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue

If American Eagle has seen farther, it is by standing on the shoulders of Sydney Sweeney.

The jeans seller posted adjusted earnings of $0.84 per share, ahead of the $0.71 expected by analysts polled by FactSet. It booked $1.76 billion in fourth-quarter revenue, versus the $1.74 billion consensus.

Shares initially climbed more than 5% after-hours before paring gains to about 2%.

“Compelling new product collections, supported by fresh marketing campaigns, led to higher demand trends in the quarter,” said CEO Jay Schottenstein.

American Eagle said it’s expecting same-store sales to grow by high single digits in the first quarter.

Marketing controversy has proved to be a powerful mover of denim for AE. In its third-quarter earnings call in December, AE said its partnership with Sydney Sweeney — together with a Travis Kelce partnership — had garnered more than 44 billion impressions. The retailer hit meme stock status last July when it initially launched its “Sydney Sweeney has great jeans” campaign.

As of Wednesday’s close, American Eagle shares had climbed 120% since the Sweeney ad first landed.

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Investors are itching to buy the dip in memory stocks

The intense drubbing in South Korean stocks, with the benchmark Korean index (KOSPI) falling nearly 20% in its first two trading days of the week following a Monday holiday, represented a serious threat to the hottest AI trade: memory stocks.

South Korea’s market is dominated by two high-bandwidth memory giants: SK Hynix and Samsung.

After Tuesday’s tumble, US investors seemingly said enough is enough: it’s a buy-the-dip opportunity.

US memory stocks like Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings are posting massive gains on the day. The advance comes amid positive commentary at a Morgan Stanley conference on demand for memory chips.

Even more interestingly, the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF is up big today despite the KOSPI falling 12% overnight, its largest drop on record. The ETF’s outperformance of the South Korean equity gauge is the largest since 2008, as the global financial crisis raged.

The daily performance of these two can differ materially since they trade at different times and don’t track precisely the same things. US investors are making the bet that a potential break in this momentum trade and the potential for an unwind of retail leverage in South Korean markets be damned, big drops in memory stocks are meant to be bought.

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