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Luke Kawa

Semiconductor stocks soar on telegraphed trade truce with China

Semiconductor stocks, which were sold hard when US-China trade tensions flared up earlier this month, are being scooped up again in earnest after top officials from both countries indicated that positive discussions this weekend had cleared the runway for the world’s two largest economies to reach a deal.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF fell nearly 6%, its worst one-day drop since April, on October 10 when President Trump said he was mulling a “massive increase” on imported Chinese goods, later floating the potential for levies of 100%. It’s up nearly 2% as of 9:04 a.m. ET, with the likes of Micron, Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia, and Broadcom outperforming. Intel — with roughly 30% last year’s sales coming from billings in China — also rose on the news.

Other stocks in the group doing well are wafer fab equipment makers Applied Materials and Lam Research, which had recently drawn the ire of US lawmakers because of their exposure to China — their most important market. Cadence Design Systems, an electronic design automation company that’s seen restrictions on its China business imposed and then removed this year, is also up.

“With tariffs and trade threats back and forth the last few weeks escalating on the China rare earth threats it appears a much broader trade framework/deal could be on the table this week between US and China which would be a huge groundbreaking moment for the tech sector and markets,” Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives wrote. “This continues to be a lingering overhang on tech stocks that could be removed as the far reaching impact around the AI Revolution from chip production, Nvidia/AMD sales into China, software IP complexity, TikTok, and rare earth restrictions are all on the table in this game of high stakes poker between Trump and Xi.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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