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SoFi golf tournament
In the rough (Brennan Asplen/Getty Images)

SoFi stock drops for the third day in a row

The sell-off in shares of the online financial services firm may reflect broader jitters about the economy and tariffs.

Matt Phillips

Online financial services firm SoFi Technologies slumped for the third straight session Thursday, pushing its year-to-date losses to more than 18%.

There’s little direct news on the stock, so it’s tough to say exactly what’s perturbing the markets about SoFi lately. But it’s not alone: Upstart Holdings, another online lender, is also getting clobbered and is down roughly 6%.

Our best guess is that the downdraft is related to generalized jitters about a weakening economy. That seems consistent with the story the stock market is telling today. Recession-proof areas like consumers staples — which include safety stocks like Verizon, Clorox, and Conagra — are the winners on the day, after the White House’s latest tariffs seemed to throw a wet blanket on growth expectations.

Online lenders like SoFi are already seeing delinquency rates rising, as their rates on both student loans and personal loans rose in February. And a downturn in the job market would likely make matters worse.

As far as SoFi is concerned, the administration giveth and taketh away. SoFi was as an underappreciated Trump trade. Between the election and early January, it soared more than 65%, surging along with other financial firms on expectations that President Trump’s victory in the election would translate into tangible business benefits, perhaps from reduced regulatory scrutiny.

Like other Trump trades, the stock has become something of a favorite among retail traders. It made the list of top 10 net retail buys over the last week, produced by JPMorgan equity analysts.

But increasingly little of its Trump bump remains. SoFi is now hanging on to just single-digit gains since America opted for Trump 2.0.

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GameStop surges amid bullish options flows

Shares of GameStop are jumping on no news amid elevated options demand that’s got a decidedly bullish tilt.

(Ah, typing that makes me feel younger!)

As of 3 p.m. ET, more than 233,000 call options have changed hands, already 100,000 above their full-day average over the past 20 sessions. And that’s largely one-way traffic: the stock’s put/call ratio is sitting at 0.1, which would be its lowest for a single session since July 21.

Call options that expire this Friday with strike prices of $23.50 and $24 are among the contracts seeing the most activity.

IBM Analysts React Man Reading Report

Analysts parse IBM earnings, see weakness, stock slides

IBM is on track for its worst trading day in months.

markets

Southwest sinks on bearish options activity following its third-quarter earnings beat

Southwest’s first full quarter of baggage fees drove it to a revenue record and a profit beat, sending shares higher in after-hours trading on Wednesday. But on Thursday morning, its shares are down more than 5%.

As of 10:50 a.m. ET, more than 31,000 put options in Southwest Airlines have changed hands. That’s already about 50% above its 20-day average for a full session. Thursday’s trading was particularly skewed toward puts, with a put/call ratio of about 3.3 versus Southwest’s 20-day average ratio of less than 1.4.

The bearish options activity coincides with Southwest’s earnings call on Thursday, which apparently isn’t doing much to inspire optimism.

markets

Las Vegas Sands soars as Q3 earnings beat and Macau momentum fuel analyst optimism

Shares of Las Vegas Sands leapt over 12% Thursday morning after the casino operator reported a strong third quarter fueled by booming business at its properties in Macau and Singapore.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.78, beating analyst expectations of $0.62. Revenue hit $3.3 billion, also above the Street’s forecast of $3.05 billion. The company plans to raise its annual dividend by $0.20 for 2026, bringing the total payout to $1.20 per share.

“We remain enthusiastic about our growth opportunities in both Macao and Singapore as we realize the benefits of our recently completed capital investment programs,” Chairman and CEO Robert G. Goldstein said in a statement.

Analysts were optimistic on the results:

  • Stifel kept its “buy” rating and raised its price target to $68 from $60.

  • Barclays maintained a buy” rating and lifted its target to $62 from $59.

  • Goldman Sachs held a neutral rating but boosted its target to $64 from $57.

  • Mizuho kept its buy rating and raised its target to $63 from $56.

  • Macquarie maintained a neutral rating but increased its target to $64 from $62.

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Super Micro slumps after announcing preliminary Q1 net sales far below Wall Street’s expectations

Super Micro Computer is slumping after management delivered a preliminary revenue update that came in far short of what the Street was expecting.

Net sales for the quarter ended September 30 (the company’s fiscal Q1 2026) will be about $5 billion, according to a press release, which is below its guidance for $6 billion to $7 billion and below the average analyst estimate of just short of $6.5 billion.

Management attributed this to “recent design wins in excess of $12 billion, requesting delivery in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (Q2’26).”

Charles Liang, President and CEO reitereated the company’s expectation of $33 billion in revenues for the fiscal year that started in July, saying “We see customer demand accelerating, and we are gaining AI share.”

If net sales do come in around $5 billion, that would be a roughly 20% decline versus the same period in 2024.

This is not the first time this year that Super Micro has preannounced a revenue miss and effectively blamed it on timing issues.

On April 29, the company preannounced disappointing results and said, “During Q3 some delayed customer platform decisions moved sales into Q4.” Pushing back the timing of a big revenue ramp has been a common theme for Super Micro throughout the year.

As we wrote in August:

“If I could boil down the cause of the substantial volatility in shares of Super Micro Computer this year to one sentence, it would be this: it’s in the AI business — which is clearly booming — and management makes big promises on sales that it fails to deliver on.

Sales are the football, management is Lucy, and investors are Charlie Brown, falling for each renewed promise and then having it yanked away and landing flat on their backs.”

Super Micro scheduled an earnings call for Nov. 4 to discuss the outlook for second-quarter revenues and deliveries.

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