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SoftBank notches its best trading day since 2000, boosted by IPO plans at one of its units and OpenAI

SoftBank shares skyrocketed in Tokyo trading, notching their biggest daily gain since 2000, boosted by news about planned IPOs at OpenAI, in which SoftBank has a sizable stake, and SoftBank’s own SB Energy unit. ADRs of SoftBank traded in the US rallied, too.

OpenAI is accelerating the timeline to its public debut, preparing to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as early as Friday, according to The Wall Street Journal. That could set the stage for a highly anticipated public listing as early as September.

SoftBank has systematically expanded its financial exposure to OpenAI, securing a highly valuable stake in the company. As of the fiscal year-end, SoftBank’s cumulative investment in OpenAI totaled $34.6 billion, with a fair value of $79.6 billion, and cumulative investment gains totaled $45 billion, according to a SoftBank filing.

For SoftBank, a successful public debut is critical to demonstrating that OpenAI can protect its market position amid intense industry pressure. Investors have grown increasingly anxious that OpenAI is losing ground to competitors like Anthropic, which is currently in talks for a funding round that could push its own valuation past that of OpenAI.

Adding to the upward momentum, SB Energy, the digital infrastructure and clean energy development firm co-owned by SoftBank and Ares Management, confirmed its own confidential draft registration filing for a major US public listing.

This multipronged IPO pipeline has boosted investors’ confidence in billionaire founder Masayoshi Son’s high-conviction AI thesis, showcasing a road map for SoftBank to transition its paper gains into potential liquidity. SoftBank’s stock is up 37% so far this year.

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Nio posts better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and forecasts strong Q2 sales

Chinese EV maker Nio posted Q1 results before markets opened on Thursday, reporting earnings that beat expectations and strong sales guidance for the second quarter. Shares of the company climbed more than 4% in premarket trading.

For the first quarter, Nio reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.00 per share, compared to the $0.05 loss per share that Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet had expected.

  • $3.7 billion in revenue, compared to the $3.74 billion consensus estimate.

  • 83,465 vehicle deliveries, slightly exceeding its own forecast of between 80,000 and 83,000.

For Q2, Nio guided for deliveries of between 110,000 and 115,000, compared to estimates of 113,807. The company expects second-quarter revenues to come in between $4.75 billion and $4.99 billion, while analysts are forecasting $4.6 billion.

The Chinese auto industry has seen a surge in exports so far this year, as companies make efforts to combat declining domestic sales. Nio, which is still relatively new to overseas operations, has plans to ship “several thousand” EVs overseas this year.

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Walmart gives disappointing Q2 guidance after Q1 results hit estimates

Walmart, America’s largest retailer and a bellwether for the US consumer, slipped this morning after it reported Q1 earnings results that hit Wall Street estimates but gave lukewarm guidance for the current quarter.

For the three-month period ending in April, Walmart reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.66, right in line with what analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenues of $177.8 billion, more than the $174.8 billion analysts were penciling in.

For the current quarter, Walmart said it expects:

  • Adjusted EPS to fall between $0.72 and $0.74, less than the $0.75 expected.

  • Sales to grow 4.0% to 5.0% year over year — a lower midpoint than the 4.9% growth the Street had guessed.

For its current fiscal year, the company reiterated its guidance, which is:

  • Adjusted EPS to hit between $2.75 and $2.85, less than the $2.90 analysts expect.

  • Sales to increase 3.5% to 4.5% year over year. Analysts had been forecasting about 5% annual revenue growth.

Walmart fell 2% shortly after the release. The stock is up more than 16% since the start of the year through Wednesday’s close.

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Quantum stocks soar after Trump administration awards $2 billion in grants, in deals that include government equity stakes

Quantum computing stocks are soaring in early trading on Thursday after the Trump administration signed a number of letters of intent (LOIs) to award a total of $2 billion in grants to nine quantum companies, in deals that also include equity stakes. In press releases published by IBM, GlobalFoundries, D-Wave Quantum, Infleqtion, and Rigetti, LOIs have been signed with the US Department of Commerce’s CHIPS Research and Development Office.

First reported by The Wall Street Journal, the following companies are part of the overall package, with respective amounts of funding reported:

For IBM, the largest recipient, the funds will be used to build an American quantum chip foundry, supporting the research and development efforts of a new IBM company: Anderon, set to be America’s first pure-play quantum foundry, according to IBM, which will match the federal funding dollar for dollar, plowing $1 billion into Anderon.

The agreements, which will be funded under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act, will be made in exchange for the government taking an unspecified minority equity stake in each of the quantum companies — an unusual federal move that has become common under President Trump, with investments in the rare earth space and chips (most notably Intel).

The process of reaching these deals with the government included “a very rigorous technical evaluation over many, many months,” Infleqtion CEO Matthew Kinsella told Sherwood News. “Every quantum company I have spoken with throughout the supply chain applied and put in a proposal for this CHIPS Act money. So I view this as the US government having done a very, very broad overview of the quantum industry and selected the partners that they believe can execute.”

Rumors and reports of potential government support buoyed quantum computing stocks during September and October of last year, contributing to frenzied, options-fueled gains for many of its most well-known constituents.

Other quantum names not booking government deals today are also ticking up in sympathy, including pure-play IonQ, Quantum Computing, Arqit Quantum, and Honeywell (which backs Quantinuum), following the administration’s show of confidence in the nascent technology. The government is also reportedly working on an executive order focused on the quantum industry, the Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

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Nebius soars on new energy partnership worth up to $2.6 billion with Bloom Energy, and unverified reports about price hikes

Nebius is up 8% in premarket trading on Thursday on a double dose of news flow.

The first is more solid: the AI cloud company announced that it is partnering with Bloom Energy to deploy Bloom’s fuel cell technology to power its AI infrastructure build-out, with their first project expected to deliver 328 megawatts of installed capacity this year.

The second, that Nebius is raising its prices by ~30% for its on-demand (pay as you go) rates for access to its Nvidia GPUs, is unverified, stemming from a tweet from an X user who claims to have been emailed by the company about the price changes.

If true, it goes without saying that a 28% to 30% jump in spot prices to rent H100, H200, B200, or B300 chips is a pretty bullish statement on the continued demand for compute.

Per Nebius’ press release, Bloom’s fuel cell systems will provide on-site, behind-the-meter electricity for the neocloud company to meet demand for Nebius’ full-stack AI cloud platform, initially in the US but with potential for global expansion. In a 6-K filing, Nebius gave more detail, with the power capacity being provided expected to come online in three phases, each with a supply term of 10 years. All told, Nebius will “pay monthly services fees of up to $2.6 billion in the aggregate.”

Through Bloom’s systems, “clean power with virtually no pollutants is deployed onsite, on the timelines our customers need, with the availability AI workloads require,” commented Andrey Korolenko, chief product and infrastructure officer at Nebius. Nebius also noted in the press release that the technology generates electricity without combustion, and therefore tends to face a lighter permitting hurdle than combustion-based systems. Its modular design allows for faster deployment across the board.

The news comes as Nebius and its neocloud peers like CoreWeave and IREN face new competitors like Google and Blackstone’s new AI cloud company in the race to build out AI infrastructure for rent. Shares of Bloom Energy are also up 3% this morning.

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