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Southwest Q2 sales and earnings fall short of Wall Street estimates

One month of raking in bag fees wasn’t exactly enough to lift Southwest Airlines to cruising altitude.

The airline reported earnings after the bell on Wednesday and said it expects its full-year earnings before interest and taxes to land between $600 million and $800 million. Along with rivals Delta Air Lines and American Airlines, Southwest had pulled its annual guidance earlier this spring.

Southwest shares were up 0.2% after-hours. Likely encouraging investors was a new $2 billion share buyback plan over the next two years and Southwest’s statement that “recent industry demand shows signs of improvement off of depressed second quarter 2025 levels.”

Southwest posted earnings per share of $0.39, below expectations of $0.51 per analysts polled by FactSet and down more than 30% from the same period last year. Its Q2 sales reached $7.24 billion, shy of the $7.29 billion expected by the Street.

Despite all the cost cutting Southwest’s been up to since ceding board seats to activist investor Elliott Management in October, its nonfuel costs per seat mile climbed 4.3% on the quarter, in line with its own expectations. Southwest expects those costs to climb between 3.5% and 5.5% in the current quarter.

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Planet Labs slips after big post-earnings gain

Smallish midcap satellite imagery and data company Planet Labs is giving back a chunk of the nearly 50% gain it racked up after posting earnings early Monday.

No tears, though: the shares, which seem to have a fairly robust retail following, are still up roughly 340% over the past 12 months.

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CoreWeave soars as Microsoft’s deal with Nebius shows unrelenting demand for AI compute

CoreWeave is soaring as Microsoft’s $17.4 billion deal with Nebius shows the immense value and continued demand for all parts of the AI data center ecosystem.

One additional reason for CoreWeave’s jump may be that its pending acquisition of AI data center infrastructure company Core Scientific looks like a great deal compared to Microsoft’s renting of (more broad and advanced) AI data center capacity from Nebius.

CoreWeave’s all-stock deal to buy Core Scientific was initially valued at ~$9 billion, but with the subsequent decline in its shares, it’s worth about 40% less. And in purchasing Core Scientific, CoreWeave is saving $10 billion in what it would have paid the company to lease data center infrastructure over the next 12 years.

As it stands, Microsoft is getting about 300 megawatts in data center power capacity from Nebius, while Core Scientific boasts that its footprint is in excess of 1,300 megawatts. So, on the surface, it looks like an absolute steal for CoreWeave.

But again, this is not an apples-to-apples comparison; not all access to AI computing infrastructure is created equal.

There are differences in the type of AI infrastructure provided by the two: Nebius owns GPUs, while Core Scientific doesn’t, and what it provides in the software layer isn’t offered by Core Scientific as a stand-alone entity. This is the difference between the “full stack” approach (Nebius) and a “colocation” approach (Core Scientific).

That being said, CoreWeave’s acquisition of Core Scientific, once completed, will make the combined entity’s business model look more like Nebius’ model, which, as Microsoft just told us, is something that top hyperscalers are willing to pay a pretty penny for.

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UNH rises after preliminary data shows most Medicare Advantage enrollees will be on more lucrative, top-rated plans

UnitedHealth rose more than 4% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the company disclosed that it expects the majority of its Medicare Advantage enrollees will be on plans rated four stars or higher in 2026.

Though the data is only preliminary, about 78% of UNH’s Medicare Advantage members are in plans rated four stars or higher, the company said in a regulatory filing Tuesday morning. On Monday, the company said it plans to reiterate its full-year guidance when it meets with investors this week.

Insurance companies that provide government-sponsored plans, like Medicare Advantage, have struggled this year amid unexpected rising costs. Plans that are rated four stars or higher earn bonus payments and are typically more lucrative for healthcare insurance providers.

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