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Yiwen Lu

US stocks gain for three weeks straight despite modest loss on Friday

The S&P 500 fell 0.1% on Friday after swinging between small gains and losses but still ended the week with 0.6% gain. The Nasdaq 100, similarly, closed down 0.5% but up 1.1% for the week. On the other hand, the Russell 2000 added 0.7% on Friday but had a weekly loss of 0.1%.

The personal consumption expenditures price index for August came in 2.2%, the lowest since February 2021. This was closer to the Federal Reserve’s inflation target of 2% than last month. Core PCE — excluding energy and food — picked up slightly from last month to 2.7%.

Treasury yields fell. The dollar retreated for the fourth consecutive week.

Most S&P 500 sectors advanced. The energy sector took the lead, up 2%. On the other hand, technology, materials and health care declined. The technology select sector SPDR fund slid 0.9%.

Tech stocks were dragged by Dell, which lost 4.9%, and HP, which fell 4% on news that Bank of America Securities downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral. Shares of Nvidia also dipped, down 2.2% on Friday, after Bloomberg reported that China urged local companies to buy domestically produced chips instead of the Nvidia ones. 

Casino stocks continued their rally on the heels of Beijing’s stimulus. Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands were among the best S&P 500 performers of the day, and both added more than 20% this week.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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