Markets
Luke Kawa

Stocks erase massive gains to end deep in the red on eve of reciprocal tariffs

The stock market’s recovery off the lows on Monday and early gains on Tuesday was a story of traders hoping and looking for off-ramps from reciprocal tariffs slated to go into effect at midnight. On Tuesday afternoon, the tale of the tape was traders driving in reverse on that off-ramp to create a major wreck on the highway.

The catalyst? Confirmation that the White House is going through with 104% tariffs on goods from China, not to mention the rest of the reciprocal tariffs.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 erased gains of 4% to finish 1.6% and 1.9% lower, respectively. The Russell 2000 gave up a 3% gain to finish 3% lower.

To say the market has been volatile would be an understatement: per Bespoke Investment Group, the past two days have been the first time in history that the Nasdaq 100 was down 4% only to finish positive, and then followed that up with a session where it was up 4% but ended in the red.

Every S&P 500 sector ETF fell, with materials, real estate, energy, consumer discretionary, and tech all off at least 2%.

The reversals were massive. Nvidia erased a gain of 8% to finish down 1.4%. Apple has nearly erased a year’s worth of gains, hitting a new low for 2025.

Levi’s surged after beating Q1 earnings, with the denim giant saying the impact of tariffs would be de nada. However, traders changed their minds, sending the stock from up 16% to down 8%.

Cannabis company Tilray cratered after missing on sales.

Some relative bright spots: health insurance stocks like Humana and UnitedHealth were the S&P 500’s top and third-top gainers, respectively, following reports that the Trump administration will boost payout rates for Medicare Advantage insurers. Broadcom rallied after management authorized a $10 billion buyback plan. Carnival gained after announcing an order for two new ships. And Boeing managed to stay in the green after reporting a significant improvement in first-quarter jet deliveries.

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AST SpaceMobile rises after favorable commentary from BofA

Mobile-services-from-space play — and retail investor favorite — AST SpaceMobile rose after receiving a target price upgrade from Bank of America analysts.

In a note published Thursday, BofA telecom services analysts lifted their price target for the stock to $100 from $85, while noting that the low-Earth orbit satellite industry — which supercharged stocks like Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, and AST in 2025 — is set to gain more attention this year:

“We expect the momentum to intensify in 2026 as providers like ASTS and Starlink jockey to offer full cellular service and capture subscribers. Debates will likely grow regarding Starlink’s plans to offer full cellular service and regulatory decisions on Ligado and EchoStar spectrum transactions are events to watch. Carrier partnerships could evolve and pricing and plan decisions should be clearer by year end as ASTS approaches full constellation operability.”

Still, they maintained their “neutral” rating on the stock, saying they “await progress on ASTS 1) fully producing and subsequently launching its BlueBird satellite constellation, 2) successfully operating the constellation, and 3) capturing subscribers and turning them into revenue paying subscribers before becoming more constructive on the story.”

The market has been less reticent: the money-losing company’s shares are up approximately 300% over the last year.

Bulls pour into Joby and Archer options as Trump’s push for record defense budget boosts eVTOL names

Options traders appear bullish on electric aircraft makers like Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation on Thursday, with large volumes boosting the stocks following President Trump’s call for a record $1.5 trillion US military budget for 2027.

Both companies, as well as newly public rival Beta Technologies, have sizable defense contracts. In July, Archer CEO Adam Goldstein told Sherwood News that he believes the company’s defense side will outpace its civil air taxi service for at least a decade.

Traders seem to believe him. As of 10:53 a.m. ET, about 31,000 Archer call options had exchanged hands, around 9,000 short of its 20-day average for a full day. Joby saw roughly 20,000 call options traded by the same time, eclipsing its 20-day average. For the most actively traded calls for Joby and Archer (C$17s expiring February 20 and C$9s expiring on Friday, respectively), volumes on the ask side are outstripping the bid or mid, indicating motivated buyers.

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