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Luke Kawa

Stocks jump as Trump softens stance on his two most market-unfriendly policies

Traders are continuing to step away from the ledge and into the sunshine this morning as the White House floods the zone with positive policy chatter.

A smattering of positive news on Tuesday after the close is fueling a massive relief rally on Wall Street, with US equity futures up 2.5% in early trading. At their highs of the morning, S&P futures were still about 1.5% below levels seen on April 9, after the president watered down reciprocal tariffs on most nations for 90 days.

President Donald Trump told the press that tariffs on China “will come down substantially” and not be near 145%. When asked if he would play hardball in negotiations with China, the president said no.

The president met with the heads of retail giants on Monday, many of which were facing significant operational challenges and higher costs linked to high levies on imports from the world’s second-largest economy.

And, at least with the UK, the White House also seems to be tackling an issue that limited its ability to find common ground with Japan’s trade negotiators: having clear demands upon which a deal could be ironed out. The Wall Street Journal reported on a draft document that sees US trade negotiators pushing for the UK to cut its auto tariff and relax rules on agricultural imports, among other measures.

The market-friendly tone from the White House wasn’t limited to trade. Trump remarked that he has no intention of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, but just wishes that he would be more active in lowering interest rates. Last week, Trump posted on Truth Social that “Powell’s termination cannot come soon enough.”

These headlines all arrived after Bloomberg reported that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the US and China would find ways to de-escalate in the very near future because the trade war was unsustainable with levies this high. These comments, from an official who has emphasized that it is “Main Street’s turn” for success, came during a private event hosted by JPMorgan in Washington, DC.

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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