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Luke Kawa

Stocks jump as Trump softens stance on his two most market-unfriendly policies

Traders are continuing to step away from the ledge and into the sunshine this morning as the White House floods the zone with positive policy chatter.

A smattering of positive news on Tuesday after the close is fueling a massive relief rally on Wall Street, with US equity futures up 2.5% in early trading. At their highs of the morning, S&P futures were still about 1.5% below levels seen on April 9, after the president watered down reciprocal tariffs on most nations for 90 days.

President Donald Trump told the press that tariffs on China “will come down substantially” and not be near 145%. When asked if he would play hardball in negotiations with China, the president said no.

The president met with the heads of retail giants on Monday, many of which were facing significant operational challenges and higher costs linked to high levies on imports from the world’s second-largest economy.

And, at least with the UK, the White House also seems to be tackling an issue that limited its ability to find common ground with Japan’s trade negotiators: having clear demands upon which a deal could be ironed out. The Wall Street Journal reported on a draft document that sees US trade negotiators pushing for the UK to cut its auto tariff and relax rules on agricultural imports, among other measures.

The market-friendly tone from the White House wasn’t limited to trade. Trump remarked that he has no intention of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, but just wishes that he would be more active in lowering interest rates. Last week, Trump posted on Truth Social that “Powell’s termination cannot come soon enough.”

These headlines all arrived after Bloomberg reported that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the US and China would find ways to de-escalate in the very near future because the trade war was unsustainable with levies this high. These comments, from an official who has emphasized that it is “Main Street’s turn” for success, came during a private event hosted by JPMorgan in Washington, DC.

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Ford raises its full-year guidance, receives $1.3 billion tariff refund

Ford reported its first-quarter results after markets closed on Wednesday. The automaker’s shares climbed roughly 7% in after-hours trading on the news.

For Q1, Ford reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.66 per share, compared to the $0.18 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. The figure includes Ford’s tariff reimbursement.

  • $43.25 in total revenue, vs. the $42.66 billion consensus forecast. Automotive revenue came in at $39.8 billion, compared to estimates of $38.9 billion.

  • A $1.3 billion tariff refund.

Ford boosted its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest and taxes to between $8.5 billion and $10.5 billion, up from between $8 billion and $10 billion.

Late last year, Ford announced it would take $19.5 billion in charges — one of the largest write-downs ever — relating mostly to its EV business. Of those charges, $7 billion will be spread across this year and next, the company said.

Earlier this month, Ford recorded an 8.8% drop in Q1 sales from the same period last year, a similar result to Detroit rival GM, which posted a 9.7% sales drop.

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Microsoft beats on revenue and earnings in Q3, but only meets expectations for cloud growth

Microsoft shares dipped after the company reported strong Q3 earnings postmarket Wednesday, posting ​​sales of $82.9 billion for the quarter, beating FactSet analyst estimates of $81.4 billion. Earnings per share were $4.27, handily beating estimates of $4.05. 

In a closely watched number, Microsoft’s Azure cloud business increased 40% year on year, just above the 39.7% estimated. The metric technically beat expectations, but may not be the beat investors were looking for.

Total capital expenditure for the quarter was $31.9 billion, up 49% year on year, above estimates of $27.5 billion and down from Q2’s $37.5 billion.

One thing investors were eager to find out: how is the company doing in its effort to fulfill the billions in backlogged commercial bookings? Last quarter, the company reported a staggering $625 billion in remaining performance obligations, and 45% of that was for just one customer — OpenAI.

For the third quarter, Microsoft reported a backlog of $627 billion, up 99% year on year. The company said the RPO increase was 26% — in line with “historical seasonality” — when excluding OpenAI.

Breaking down the results by the company’s business lines:

  • ☁️ 🤖 Intelligent Cloud (Azure, server products): $34.7 billion in revenue, up 30% year on year.

  • 📝 📊 Productivity and Business Processes (Microsoft 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics): $35 billion in revenue, up 17% year on year.

  • 💻 🎮 More Personal Computing (Windows, Xbox, Bing): $13.2 billion in revenue, down 1% year on year.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said in the earnings release:

“We delivered results that exceeded expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share, reflecting strong execution and growing demand for the Microsoft Cloud.”

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