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Luke Kawa

Stocks rally as traders lock in bets on lower rates

November’s reading of the consumer-price index matched Wall Street’s expectations, helping spark a stock-market rally.

The SPDR S&P 500 Trust and Invesco QQQ Trust are on the rise in the premarket, with the iShares Russell 2000 ETF outperforming and gaining almost 1% following this release.

The lack of any upside surprise in inflation was enough to fortify bets that the Federal Reserve will deliver another rate cut at next Wednesday’s meeting. The implied odds of a 25-basis point reduction in its policy rate rose from 86% to over 99% after the data on Tuesday.

Small caps tend to have more floating-rate debt than their larger peers, and so benefit disproportionately from rate cuts.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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