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Stocks stall, small-caps tumble on hot inflation print

Some fun in single stocks, a listless day for major indexes, and awful price action in small-caps.

Luke Kawa

A hotter-than-expected reading of July’s producer price index put stocks, and particularly small-caps, on the back foot to start the day.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 managed to bounce back, with the former closing marginally higher and the latter fractionally lower, while the Russell 2000 fell more than 1% on the day.

Healthcare and financials were the best-performing S&P 500 sector ETFs, while materials was at the bottom of the leaderboard with a decline of 1%.

Amazon continued to be a standout positive performer among megacaps, with analysts applauding its expansion into free same-day grocery delivery nationwide for Prime members.

Palantir dipped as Andrew Left, head of short-selling firm Citron Research, said he was betting against the company in light of its lofty valuation.

CoreWeave tanked 15% ahead of its lockup expiry, which allows major shareholders to begin potentially taking profits following the IPO as of now.

Bumble also cratered 15% after two major shareholders — Blackstone and the dating app’s founder and CEO, Whitney Wolfe Herd — announced that they were selling what amounted to roughly one-fifth of shares outstanding.

Intel popped late in the day on a Bloomberg report that the Trump administration was mulling the potential for the government to take a position in the embattled chip company.

TeraWulf posted a massive gain, up nearly 60%, after announcing multibillion-dollar AI hosting deals and news that Alphabet would acquire an 8% stake in the company.

Chinese gaming company NetEase slumped almost 4% after posting underwhelming second-quarter earnings.

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Ford raises its full-year guidance, receives $1.3 billion tariff refund

Ford reported its first-quarter results after markets closed on Wednesday. The automaker’s shares climbed roughly 7% in after-hours trading on the news.

For Q1, Ford reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.66 per share, compared to the $0.18 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet. The figure includes Ford’s tariff reimbursement.

  • $43.25 in total revenue, vs. the $42.66 billion consensus forecast. Automotive revenue came in at $39.8 billion, compared to estimates of $38.9 billion.

  • A $1.3 billion tariff refund.

Ford boosted its full-year guidance for adjusted earnings before interest and taxes to between $8.5 billion and $10.5 billion, up from between $8 billion and $10 billion.

Late last year, Ford announced it would take $19.5 billion in charges — one of the largest write-downs ever — relating mostly to its EV business. Of those charges, $7 billion will be spread across this year and next, the company said.

Earlier this month, Ford recorded an 8.8% drop in Q1 sales from the same period last year, a similar result to Detroit rival GM, which posted a 9.7% sales drop.

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Microsoft beats on revenue and earnings in Q3, but only meets expectations for cloud growth

Microsoft shares dipped after the company reported strong Q3 earnings postmarket Wednesday, posting ​​sales of $82.9 billion for the quarter, beating FactSet analyst estimates of $81.4 billion. Earnings per share were $4.27, handily beating estimates of $4.05. 

In a closely watched number, Microsoft’s Azure cloud business increased 40% year on year, just above the 39.7% estimated. The metric technically beat expectations, but may not be the beat investors were looking for.

Total capital expenditure for the quarter was $31.9 billion, up 49% year on year, above estimates of $27.5 billion and down from Q2’s $37.5 billion.

One thing investors were eager to find out: how is the company doing in its effort to fulfill the billions in backlogged commercial bookings? Last quarter, the company reported a staggering $625 billion in remaining performance obligations, and 45% of that was for just one customer — OpenAI.

For the third quarter, Microsoft reported a backlog of $627 billion, up 99% year on year. The company said the RPO increase was 26% — in line with “historical seasonality” — when excluding OpenAI.

Breaking down the results by the company’s business lines:

  • ☁️ 🤖 Intelligent Cloud (Azure, server products): $34.7 billion in revenue, up 30% year on year.

  • 📝 📊 Productivity and Business Processes (Microsoft 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics): $35 billion in revenue, up 17% year on year.

  • 💻 🎮 More Personal Computing (Windows, Xbox, Bing): $13.2 billion in revenue, down 1% year on year.

Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said in the earnings release:

“We delivered results that exceeded expectations across revenue, operating income, and earnings per share, reflecting strong execution and growing demand for the Microsoft Cloud.”

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