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Luke Kawa

Super Micro tumbles after reporting disappointing results, boosts full-year sales outlook

Super Micro Computer just released results for its fiscal Q1, the three months ended September 30, and they’re a top- and bottom-line miss — but with very strong sales guidance for the current quarter and a boost to the full-year outlook.

Shares are sinking in after-hours trading.

The Q1 results:

  • Net sales: $5 billion (compared to an estimate of $6.1 billion and guidance of about $5 billion).

  • Adjusted diluted net income per share: $0.35 (estimate: $0.41, guidance: $0.40 to $0.52).

Its fiscal Q2 guidance:

  • Net sales: $10 billion to 11 billion (estimate: $8.1 billion).

  • Adjusted diluted net income per share: $0.46 to $0.54 (estimate: $0.62).

The server giant took away some of the suspense from these results by announcing preliminary figures on October 23, saying Q1 net sales would be about $5 billion, which it attributed to “recent design wins in excess of $12 billion, requesting delivery in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026” — that is, the quarter we’re currently in. That figure was far short of the consensus estimate and its previously issued guidance for the quarter.

(Hilariously, the consensus estimate only went down to $6.1 billion from $6.5 billion after that release).

At that time, President and CEO Charlies Liang reiterated expectations for $33 billion in sales for fiscal year 2026. Management has now upped that full-year sales outlook to $36 billion. Analysts were expecting $32.6 billion.

Pushing back the timing of expected sales has been a common theme for Super Micro this calendar year.

“Though large deals tend to come with bigger discounts, the company has yet to draw a line on pricing in its effort to win them, as 2Qs outlook implies a 7.5% gross margin vs. 9.3% in 1Q,” Bloomberg Intelligence senior industry analyst Woo Jin Ho wrote. “Though the company raised the full-year forecast by at least 9%, unless its pricing strategy changes, we dont believe earnings will follow.”

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Chicago Bulls player Michael Jordan is surrounded by NBA Championship trophies after his team defeated the Utah Jazz 90-86 to win the 1997 NBA Finals at the United Center in Chicago, IL.

Stock climb on US-Iran peace deal; semiconductors rally

This morning, President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war.

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Intel surges after Trump announces US chip deal with Apple

Intel is soaring in early trading after President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that Apple has agreed to work with the semiconductor giant to design and manufacture its chips domestically.

President Trump positioned the agreement as the latest victory for his administration’s industrial policy after the federal government acquired a 9.9% equity stake in Intel last year.

"Stupid Presidents took our Economy for granted, and let Taiwan and others steal our Semiconductor Factories," Trump wrote in the post. "We design everything, but we need to BUILD it here, NOW! So I decided to help Intel because we need to design and build our Chips right here in America... and, finally, Apple has agreed to work with Intel to design and build its Chips in America."

Intel reportedly reached a preliminary agreement back in May to manufacture chips for the Apple, which has been facing supply constraints for its iPhone as well other products. The deal could help Apple reduce its reliance on longtime partner TSMC by bringing more of its chip manufacturing stateside.

"This partnership helps Apple with chip development and manufacturing on US soil with greater focus on reducing dependence on Asian manufacturing facilities." Wedbush's Dan Ives commented in a company report. He has a $400 price target for Apple this year.

The timing aligns with Intel's technical roadmap. Earlier this week, Intel confirmed that its advanced, performance-boosted 18A-P process node officially entered its risk production phase. This move serves as a blueprint for both Intel chips and processors the company plans to build for foundry customers.

“The current capacity crunch is probably emboldening customers to give Intel a harder look at this stage than perhaps they might ordinarily be inclined to do as the prospect of more advanced capacity will take on higher value in a constrained environment,” wrote Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon. “We are sure that Trump’s encouragement is at least not going to hurt though.”

Momentum was built around Intel Foundry services as surging global AI demand continuously outpaced capacity. Earlier this month, Google reportedly placed an order with Intel to manufacture more than 3 million of its increasingly popular tensor processing unit chips in 2028. According to the report, Nvidia is also testing to see if Intel could manufacture its next-gen Feynman chips.

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Stocks rise after US, Iran sign peace plan

Stocks rose Thursday morning after President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending the war, in another sign that a months-long war that caused energy prices to spike could be coming to an end.

Trump signed the MOU before a dinner in Versailles, France on Wednesday evening. The president previously announced that a deal had been reached on Sunday evening, saying that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz would resume and that the US naval blockade would be lifted.

The deal comes after both sides exchanged attacks last week, escalating tensions to some of the highest levels since the US and Israel struck Iran in late February.

The price of Brent Crude ticked even lower after dropping on Sunday, sitting at about $76 a barrel. Oil giants like Shell, Chevron and Exxon fell on the news, as average gas prices in the US dropped below $4 for the first time in months.

Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose 0.9% and 1.5%, respectively. Last week, inflation readings for May showed both wholesale inflation and consumer prices rose in large part because of higher energy costs.

Signs of the peace deal have also lead to buying of momentum stocks this week. iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETFrose another 1.46% in premarket trading.

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