markets

Luke Kawa2/19/25

Super Micro Computer’s rally is entering full FOMO mode

There’s a mad scramble to get exposure to Super Micro Computer.

Shares of the server company have doubled this month after this morning’s strong gains on heavy volumes.

Ten minutes into the trading day, more money changed hands trading Super Micro ($2.3 billion) than any other US publicly traded company. Tesla and Nvidia usually top that leaderboard at all times; Super Micro even being close to these two is something that doesn’t happen often in the case of the former, or ever when it comes to the latter.

In December, we outlined a hypothetical bull case for the stock:

“A rose-colored-glasses thesis for the company would look a little something like this: the accounting issues don’t appear to be snowballing, the firm is taking the necessary steps to stay on the Nasdaq, it’s still in the AI business (and that business is booming!), and the stock is considerably less expensive than it was at its peak.”

A key customer (Nvidia) still considers Super Micro a critical partner, and investors are buying into the idea that Nvidia’s Blackwell GPU and Super Micro’s server solutions will ramp higher, hand in hand.

At $33 billion in market cap, Super Micro is still worth about half of its March 2024 peak.

More Markets

See all Markets

Micron reports another stellar quarter and blowout guidance

The memory chip specialist did it again.

7th China International Import Expo (CIIE) Opens In Shanghai

Luke Kawa, Tasha Matsumoto

Stocks sink as inflation fears rise

Stocks sank after a hotter-than-expected producer price index reading as well as a higher inflation forecast from the Fed amid rising energy prices.

Brown bear on a rock

Hyperscalers and hard hats

If you build it, gains will come

Construction workers

Federal Reserve leaves rates unchanged; dot plot still signals lower rates in the cards for 2026

A relatively dovish reaction function from the US central bank.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell Holds An News Conference On Interest Rates

markets

Matt Phillips11h

Constellation, Talen, and NRG surge as BNP analysts see “golden (AI)ge” ahead for them

Power producers Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and NRG jumped Wednesday, benefiting in part from a rosy write-up by analysts at BNP Paribas, who launched coverage of all three at “outperform” and argued that the AI energy trade — a big AI-related winner in recent years that has lagged a bit recently — is due for a second wind.

That view was in a broad note on the independent power producer segment of utilities industry that the analysts published Wednesday, titled “The Golden (AI)ge of IPPs.”

Here’s the gist of it:

US independent power producers (IPPs) have lagged the AI basket for 6+ months, after garnering much attention in 2023-1H25. Investors are caught up in the minutia of perceived headwinds: underwhelming pace of power purchase agreement deals, distributed behind-the-meter solutions stealing the ‘time-to-power’ edge, pressure for data centers to bring generation and not tighten the grid, etc.

And yet, as we demonstrate, despite all this noise, the wave of rising load is at the cusp of an acceleration that will nonetheless overwhelm new supply—well into the 2030s, in our view. Hop on or risk missing the resurgent AI trade this decade.

BNP’s price targets for the stocks — Constellation ($407), NRG ($232) and Talen ($549) — implied gains of 32%, 50%, and 68% respectively. (Though today’s gains would reduce those potential upside targets somewhat for new buyers.)

US independent power producers (IPPs) have lagged the AI basket for 6+ months, after garnering much attention in 2023-1H25. Investors are caught up in the minutia of perceived headwinds: underwhelming pace of power purchase agreement deals, distributed behind-the-meter solutions stealing the ‘time-to-power’ edge, pressure for data centers to bring generation and not tighten the grid, etc.

And yet, as we demonstrate, despite all this noise, the wave of rising load is at the cusp of an acceleration that will nonetheless overwhelm new supply—well into the 2030s, in our view. Hop on or risk missing the resurgent AI trade this decade.

BNP’s price targets for the stocks — Constellation ($407), NRG ($232) and Talen ($549) — implied gains of 32%, 50%, and 68% respectively. (Though today’s gains would reduce those potential upside targets somewhat for new buyers.)

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.

©2026 Sherwood Media, LLC