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Tesla’s pain seems to be Uber’s gain

Uber has been strong out of the gate in 2025, with Goldman Sachs adding the taxi company to its “conviction list” of stocks to own on Tuesday.

Matt Phillips

Ride-hailing app Uber is seeing its second straight day of strong gains, in early trading, with a catalyst apparently being the addition of the company to Goldman Sachs’ “conviction list” of stocks to own in 2025.

The Fly reports:

“The firm sees scaling end markets, rising profitability levels, and increased evidence of the platform cross-sell and ‘flywheel’ effects driving a sustained mix of growth, margins and free cash flow for Uber. Goldman has a Buy rating on the shares with a $96 price target.”

Uber is in an interesting spot. After an underwhelming 2024, in which its shares slipped 2% and badly underperformed the 23% gain in the S&P 500, it seems investors are taking a second look at the company, which could benefit from any eventual autonomous-driving revolution, while at the same time generating real and growing profits now. (That’s a key difference from Tesla’s still largely theoretical Cybercab business, which is supposedly a key driver of Tesla sentiment of late.)

In fact, recently there’s been a bit of a divergence between the performance of Uber and Tesla shares, with a more negative correlation between the two — that is, when one goes up, the other goes down — than we’ve ever seen before. That might suggest that some investors see less of a threat of tech takeover of Uber’s key business from Tesla as it struggles to turn its self-driving taxi ambitions into a reality.

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>20%

The buy-the-dip bid from retail traders has been a massive market theme throughout 2025, and analysts at Jefferies have tried to quantify just how big of a footprint individual traders now have in US markets.

In a note published Tuesday, they wrote (emphasis added):

“Retail investors have become an increasingly relevant component of the US trading ecosystem, representing >20% of volume and even higher among names <$5. Growth in accounts, assets, and activity is reflected in the growth of Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, Charles Schwab, etc. A burgeoning product suite, expanded trading hours, and increased investor education support continued growth. Retail interest is here to stay; institutional investors should adjust their strategies accordingly.”

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

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JPMorgan said Marvell’s management told them their Microsoft and Amazon custom chip business is on track, contradicting other reports

The latest release from the Marvell Chipematic Universe is out:

JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur hosted a meeting with Marvell Technology President and COO Chris Koopmans and Senior VP of Investor Relations Ashish Saran on Monday amid reports that the chip company was poised to lose business from its two biggest hyperscaler custom chip clients: Amazon and Microsoft.

Benchmark downgraded the company on Monday, citing a loss of Trainium3 and 4 business, while The Information said on Friday the latter was planning on shifting its business to Broadcom. Shares tumbled 7% on Monday, erasing all of its post-earnings bounce, and are down again on Tuesday.

The message communicated to Sur from Marvell is, in short, one of Vince Vaughn’s quotable lines in “Wedding Crashers”: “Erroneous! Erroneous on both counts!”

“At our meeting yesterday, the Marvell team reiterated securing purchase orders for all of CY26 for the next-gen Trainium 3 XPU ASIC program at AWS and that the Microsoft 3 nanometer Maia AI XPU ASIC program remains on track to ramp back-half of calendar year 2026 and into calendar year 2027,” Sur wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday. “Moreover, the team reiterated that they are already working on next-gen 2 nanometer XPU programs for both customers.”

The analyst maintained a $92 price target and “overweight” rating on the shares.

Sur added that Marvell’s management “remains perplexed/frustrated at all of the ‘noise’ in the market.”

This whole thing is starting to have the feel of a three- to four-episode subplot arc from HBO’s “Billions.”

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