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Luke Kawa

The Magnificent 7 are finally acting as a group — besides Apple, they’re all tumbling together

Well, perhaps there’s one reason to continue to refer to the Magnificent 7 as an amorphous collective after all. And it’s a bad news story: with the exception of Apple, the group of stocks is trading like a cohesive unit. By falling, a lot.

2024 was a year defined by the ability of these megacap tech companies to trade largely independently of one another, even as most were getting more and more levered to the AI theme, either through sales or capex.

The correlation disinflation between these trillion-dollar companies was one of the most critical factors in keeping overall stock market volatility compressed. That’s gone out the window.

We’ve seen that turn on a dime from the S&P 500’s record highs until now. At the time of the benchmark US stock index’s closing peak, the average correlation between members of the Magnificent 7 over the trailing month was its lowest since 2021. That has since exploded during a market rout that’s been principally characterized by a breakdown in high-flying momentum stocks, especially those tied to AI.

In a crisis, as they say, correlations go to one.

Apple, with just a 34% correlation to the other members of the cohort over the past 21 sessions, is playing the biggest role as a volatility dampener at the moment. But the world’s biggest publicly traded company is just a sandbag in the face of a tsunami at the moment.

Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon all hit fresh 2025 lows this morning.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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