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The most insane trading day for Opendoor yet, charted

Opendoor traded more than Meta in furious, frenzied trading yesterday that echoed the peak GameStop era.

David Crowther, Luke Kawa

The explosion of retail enthusiasm over struggling online real estate company Opendoor Technologies is propelling trading activity in the stock into the stratosphere of the most valuable, well-known companies in the world — and in many cases, well past them.

It’s hard to contextualize just how insane it is that a company that, until very recently, was a penny stock with a market cap in the hundreds of millions is now trading more than tech giant Meta.

As you would expect, trading volumes tend to correlate strongly with the market value of a stock. There are outliers, of course — Palantir is one that continues to punch above its weight — but for the most part, there’s a clear correlation between market cap and volume traded. Even in the most liquid market in the world, US equities tend to take a little over 100 days of typical trading to turn over their entire market cap.

OpenDoor trading vs. market cap
Sherwood News

Put another way, the average stock in the S&P 500 Index traded 0.87% of its market cap yesterday, per FactSet data. On a relative basis, Domino’s Pizza, which reported decent earnings yesterday thanks its efforts in the world of stuffed crusts, was the most active in the S&P 500 — turning over just under 7% of its market cap in Monday’s session.

Opendoor Technologies was completely off the charts, trading 298% of its closing market cap (an important distinction because it, uh, varied a lot yesterday).

That’s not too far off how much GameStop traded at the peak of its January 2021 frenzy: 316% of its market value.

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Oracle slides after-hours after beating on earnings, missing on revenue

Shares of Oracle fell over 6% in postmarket trading, after beating earnings expectations for its second quarter while coming in slightly below analyst estimates for revenue.

Adjusted earnings per share were $2.26, up 54% year on year, blowing past analyst expectations of $1.64 per share.

Revenue for the quarter was $16.06 billion, up 14% year on year, but missing estimates of $16.2 billion.

Sales from Oracle’s cloud computing unit were $8 billion for the quarter, up 34% year on year. Analysts were expecting $8.8 billion.

Oracle shares got a huge boost in September, after announcing a $300 billion deal with OpenAI, but all of that value has since disappeared. Shares are up 30% for the year so far.

Last quarter, Oracle reported $455 billion in RPOs (remaining performance obligations, or backlogged business). This quarter, that figure shot up to $528 billion, up 438% year on year.

The company announced it has sold its interest in its Ampere chip company. Oracle Chairman and CTO Larry Ellison said, “We are now committed to a policy of chip neutrality where we work closely with all our CPU and GPU suppliers. Of course, we will continue to buy the latest GPUs from Nvidia, but we need to be prepared and able to deploy whatever chips our customers want to buy. There are going to be a lot of changes in AI technology over the next few years and we must remain agile in response to those changes.”

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