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Meeting of European commanders-in-chief of land forces
A prototype of the “Skyranger” (Robert Michael/Getty Images)
Shells hocked

Why Trump’s election win is sending shares of a German weaponry company to the moon

Here’s something students of history know is always a sign of good things to come!

Matt Phillips

Germany’s munitions industry is ramping up, sending shares of its largest weaponry manufacturer skyward as the world prepares for a second Trump administration.

Since Trump won the US presidential election Tuesday, shares of Rheinmetall AG, one Europe’s largest munitions manufacturers, have gained 16%. Traders are wagering on a boom in spending on European military and weaponry, a rational expectation in light of Trump’s combative relationship with America’s traditional military allies.

Trump has repeatedly expressed that America’s European partners in NATO, the alliance formed after World War II to counterbalance the power of what was then Soviet Russia, aren’t pulling their own weight. Throughout his first term he consistently demanded European countries boost their spending on defense, threatening to pull out of the alliance if they didn’t.

In February, as a candidate, Trump said he would “would encourage” Russia “to do whatever the hell they want” to countries that are “delinquent,” comments that seemed to turbocharge shares of European defense stocks like Rheinmetall, which has nearly doubled this year.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, European defense spending has gone up sharply in a boon to European armament companies. Rheinmetall this week announced that its quarterly sales were up nearly 40% over last year and its forecast revenues would hit a new record.

“We are experiencing growth like we have never seen before in the group,” Rheinmetall Chief Executive Armin Papperger said.

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US airlines climb as President Trump shifts his tone about the urgency of ending the shutdown

Shares of US airlines are climbing as the government shutdown stretches into a record 36th day.

Stocks of several carriers, including Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines, rose significantly following an apparent change of tune from President Trump, who on Wednesday told Senate Republicans that they “must get the government back open soon, and really immediately.”

It’s a shift from the president, who’s traveled frequently during the shutdown and stuck firmly to the idea that the administration wouldn’t negotiate with Democrats before the government reopened.

Airlines had tumbled on Tuesday, following comments from Transportation Secretary Duffy that the US could close parts of its airspace amid an air traffic controller shortage that’s been escalated by the shutdown.

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Top Trump trade hit by Trump tariffs

In the early days of Trump 2.0, Axon, the maker of Taser, body cameras, and other gear for police and security forces, was a top Trump trade.

That is, it was one of the group of companies whose share prices soared on expectations of big changes — in this case a surge of spending on police and immigration enforcement — under the new administration.

And sales of the company’s security products, under its Connected Products division, did rise. But in the just-reported third quarter, costs rose more. And one of those rising costs was the Trump administration’s tariffs.

In its post-earnings conference call, Axon officials blamed tariffs for a large part of the earnings miss that sent the stock plummeting by roughly 20% in the after-hours session Tuesday.

“The impact from tariffs is obviously hitting the Connected Devices business overall. This was the first quarter that we had a full quarter of impact from tariffs,” Axon CFO and COO Brittany Bagley told analysts on the call. “So as we look at the year-over-year step down, that really is attributable to tariffs.”

She continued, “As long as tariffs stay in place, I view that as sort of a onetime adjustment. So now that’s baked into the gross margins.”

Clearly the market didn’t like the sound of that. But perhaps those tariffs may not stay in place.

Late in the morning, Axon sharply cuts its losses on the day — it had been down as much as 20% — as oral arguments in the Supreme Court case to determine the legality of President Trump’s tariff regime got underway. On balance, its seems the administration’s arguments were getting a chilly reception from the justices.

And sales of the company’s security products, under its Connected Products division, did rise. But in the just-reported third quarter, costs rose more. And one of those rising costs was the Trump administration’s tariffs.

In its post-earnings conference call, Axon officials blamed tariffs for a large part of the earnings miss that sent the stock plummeting by roughly 20% in the after-hours session Tuesday.

“The impact from tariffs is obviously hitting the Connected Devices business overall. This was the first quarter that we had a full quarter of impact from tariffs,” Axon CFO and COO Brittany Bagley told analysts on the call. “So as we look at the year-over-year step down, that really is attributable to tariffs.”

She continued, “As long as tariffs stay in place, I view that as sort of a onetime adjustment. So now that’s baked into the gross margins.”

Clearly the market didn’t like the sound of that. But perhaps those tariffs may not stay in place.

Late in the morning, Axon sharply cuts its losses on the day — it had been down as much as 20% — as oral arguments in the Supreme Court case to determine the legality of President Trump’s tariff regime got underway. On balance, its seems the administration’s arguments were getting a chilly reception from the justices.

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