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Meeting of European commanders-in-chief of land forces
A prototype of the “Skyranger” (Robert Michael/Getty Images)
Shells hocked

Why Trump’s election win is sending shares of a German weaponry company to the moon

Here’s something students of history know is always a sign of good things to come!

Matt Phillips

Germany’s munitions industry is ramping up, sending shares of its largest weaponry manufacturer skyward as the world prepares for a second Trump administration.

Since Trump won the US presidential election Tuesday, shares of Rheinmetall AG, one Europe’s largest munitions manufacturers, have gained 16%. Traders are wagering on a boom in spending on European military and weaponry, a rational expectation in light of Trump’s combative relationship with America’s traditional military allies.

Trump has repeatedly expressed that America’s European partners in NATO, the alliance formed after World War II to counterbalance the power of what was then Soviet Russia, aren’t pulling their own weight. Throughout his first term he consistently demanded European countries boost their spending on defense, threatening to pull out of the alliance if they didn’t.

In February, as a candidate, Trump said he would “would encourage” Russia “to do whatever the hell they want” to countries that are “delinquent,” comments that seemed to turbocharge shares of European defense stocks like Rheinmetall, which has nearly doubled this year.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, European defense spending has gone up sharply in a boon to European armament companies. Rheinmetall this week announced that its quarterly sales were up nearly 40% over last year and its forecast revenues would hit a new record.

“We are experiencing growth like we have never seen before in the group,” Rheinmetall Chief Executive Armin Papperger said.

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Data center trade revived on Iran war ceasefire

Data center stocks leapt early Wednesday, as the Iran war ceasefire reinvigorated risk-taking aimed at the booming AI build-out.

A wide range of stocks related to building and powering data center shells, filling them with chips, servers, racks, and memory, and then connecting those racks to one another and users around the world bounced hard in early trading.

Memory stocks like Micron, Western Digital, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Sandisk — favorites of retail traders given their massive performance in recent years — climbed.

Traders seemed to price in durable demand for memory and other chips, with the companies that make the machines that actually make semiconductors rising sharply as well. Dutch semiconductor machinery giant ASML rose, as did Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA Corp.

Fiber-optic cable and connecting companies like Lumentum, Coherent, Corning, and Applied Optoelectronics — which had been on a run before the outbreak of Mideast hostilities — regained momentum.

And the construction and engineering companies — MasTec, Vertiv Holdings, Quanta Services, and Comfort Systems USA — that have been feasting on the cash pouring into data center building and engineering also jumped.

Airlines and cruise stocks spike after oil plunges on 2-week ceasefire with Iran

Travel stocks are surging Wednesday following President Trump’s announcement on Tuesday evening of a two-week ceasefire with Iran.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down about 16% as of 7 a.m. ET. Airlines, which have been pounded by higher jet fuel costs for more than a month now, moved in the opposite direction. Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines were up more than 10% in premarket trading. Southwest Airlines and JetBlue also rose by high single digits. Three major US airlines (JetBlue, United, and Delta) raised baggage fees in recent days as fuel costs climbed.

Cruise stocks also rallied, with Carnival, Norwegian Cruise Line, and Royal Caribbean all up more than 7%.

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Delta reports better-than-expected Q1 earnings, surges as oil plummets

Delta Air Lines reported its first-quarter results before markets opened on Wednesday. The carrier’s shares surged 12% in premarket trading.

Delta, which as of today will charge passengers $10 more per checked bag, reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $0.64 per share, compared to the $0.58 per share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

  • Adjusted operating revenue of $14.2 billion, compared to estimates of $14 billion.

Looking ahead, Delta said it expects Q2 earnings per share of between $1 and $1.50, below Wall Street estimates of $1.56 per share — which might be enough to disappoint investors if oil, one of the largest inputs for an airline’s fuel cost base, wasn’t tanking. Indeed, West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down more than 16% on Wednesday morning, following President Trump’s comments that he agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday evening. Delta did not give any full-year earnings guidance in its press release.

Like other carriers, Delta has taken a hit in recent weeks as oil — and jet fuel — prices spike amid the war in Iran. Significant delays, cancellations, and rebookings have also battered US airlines.

Delta, which is becoming an increasingly K-shaped airline, saw premium tickets grow 14% year over year in the first quarter, compared to 1% growth in main cabin tickets.

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Levi Strauss jumps after raising full-year guidance, reporting earnings beat

Levi Strauss rose more than 11% in premarket trading Wednesday after it beat earnings expectations and raised its full-year guidance.

For its fiscal year 2026, which ends December 1, the apparel giant now expects to report:

  • Revenue growth between 5.5% and 6.5%, up from 5% to 6%. Analysts polled by FactSet are penciling in about 6.21% sales growth.

  • Adjusted earnings per share between $1.42 and $1.48, up from $1.40 to $1.46 but still a hair below the $1.49 Wall Street is expecting.

The company also beat expectations for its first quarter, which ended March 1. It reported:

  • Quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $0.42, versus the $0.37 expected.

  • Revenue of $1.74 billion, more than 5% ahead of the $1.65 billion that was expected, with direct-to-consumer sales making up the majority of its revenue stream for the quarter.

The stock is up nearly 11% as of 6:35 a.m. ET, having shed roughly ~5% from the start of the year to yesterdays close.

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