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Donald Trump reacts at the 2024 Bitcoin Conference
Donald Trump at the 2024 Bitcoin Conference (Johnnie Izquierdo/Getty Images)

Bad news for Trump Media and GameStop: The power of the “pivot to bitcoin” might be wearing off

Big gains for Trump Media and GameStop this week after bitcoin treasury announcements and purchases quickly reversed into massive losses.

Luke Kawa

The “pivot to” is one of the most tried-and-true ways for existing companies to ride the wave of a new mania and attract fresh investors.

It can be as simple as a name change: Ping Shan Tea Group Limited, which sold (you guessed it) traditional Chinese tea, magically became Blockchain Group Co Ltd. back in 2016. Or it can be more in the framing, like how banks tried to get everyone to think of them as tech companies. We’ve seen it over the past few years when executives tout their company’s AI capabilities regardless of how developed those are or their pertinence to business operations.

While an earlier wave of companies tried to pull off a pivot to blockchain through name changes alone, lately there’s been a more concrete way of tying your stock to Bitcoin: by buying it. But this week suggests the power of a bitcoin treasury may be losing its luster.

Usually in journalism we wait for three examples before attempting a trend piece, but two in two days should suffice:

My best guess: if you want to buy what’s effectively a leveraged bitcoin holding company, well... Strategy exists. There was a first-mover advantage here, and it’s going to be incredibly difficult to wrap your stock more thoroughly in bitcoin than what Michael Saylor’s already done. Open to any alternative suggestions!

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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