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Luke Kawa

Trump Media kicks off election day with huge premarket gains as America’s most popular stock

Even as Monday’s price action included a lot of position squaring on so-called “Trump trades” ahead of the election, shares of Trump Media & Technology Group posted a big 12.4% gain.

That momentum is carrying through to election day, with the stock up double-digits in the premarket. More money has changed hands trading DJT this morning — $340 million and counting, as of 8:45 a.m. ET — than any other US stock.

Most active US securities, premarket 11/5/24
Source: Bloomberg

DJT has been a popular — though potentially flawed and inefficient — stock-market proxy for Trump’s perceived electoral prospects, even as its underlying business continues to hemorrhage cash.

The stock has been volatility epitomized over the past few months, tumbling by 70% from mid-July through late September before surging nearly 325% in a little over a month with some sessions that included monster volumes.

In the options market, the strikes in DJT with the most open interest are 30, 35, and 40. The “max pain” point (that is, the point at which most of the options purchased that expire this Friday would be worthless) is fairly close to where the stock is trading currently.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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