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Luke Kawa

Trump’s Truth Social might be worth more than Elon Musk’s X now

Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, has been at a number of Trump rallies recently to promote the former president ahead of next Tuesday’s election. Perhaps while the two are rubbing shoulders, he might get some tips from the Republican nominee on how to grow a social-media company.

A September 28 filing from Fidelity’s Blue Chip Fund, which owns a stake in the private company, suggests the firm thinks X is worth $9.4 billion. After Monday’s eye-popping 22% gain on record volumes, Trump Media & Technology Group (parent company of Truth Social) has a market capitalization of $9.48 billion.

We don’t want to take this judgement as gospel for myriad reasons. The numbers are close, the dates aren’t perfectly apples-to-apples, and there are different ways to assess how much companies are worth (market cap versus enterprise value, etc.). Also, this is just one institution’s view.

We doubt that Musk is sweating any of this too much, seeing as X’s operational performance is not his top priority in running the social-media platform, and also because of the bit about him still being the world’s richest man who saw that net worth swell by billions last week thanks to Tesla’s strong earnings report and guidance.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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