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Luke Kawa

United States Antimony soars after proposed acquisition of Australian miner Larvotto Resources

United States Antimony Corp. is up after revealing a proposal to purchase Australian miner Larvotto Resources in an all-stock deal.

US Antimony has already acquired 10% of the company in the open market.

Larvotto is planning on developing Australia’s largest deposit of antimony, a metalloid that’s used in ammunition, batteries, and certain semiconductor products. Antimony is not a rare earth, but is considered strategically important and its production has been dominated by China.

“Our proposal to combine with Larvotto reflects our deep commitment to build a world class industry player in the critical minerals space and our strong conviction in the strategic and cultural fit between the two organizations as well as our countries,” Chairman and CEO Gary Evans said. “We see this as a compelling opportunity for Larvotto shareholders to participate in the upside of a larger, more diversified group — one with financial strength, global reach, and top tier technical capabilities.”

US Antimony has rallied strongly in recent months as the US government began to accumulate equity positions in critical minerals producers and investors tried to identify future potential targets for government investment. Those gains kicked into high gear last week after JPMorgan announced plans to invest billions in critical minerals and other industries key to America’s economic security and resiliency.

William Blair analyst Neal Dingmann initiated coverage of USAC with an “outperform” rating on Monday, suggesting that the US government may also take a position in the firm, per Bloomberg.

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US airlines climb as oil plunges following Trump’s softer position on Iran intervention

West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down around 4.7% Thursday afternoon as President Trump appeared to soften his stance on further US strikes against Iran.

That sent US airline stocks climbing as investors priced in lower fuel costs. Shares of United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and American Airlines all rose about 3% on Thursday. Earlier this month, airline stocks were boosted when investors appeared to price in some medium-term relief on the possibility of Venezuela’s reserves becoming more developed.

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TSMC’s blowout quarter, guidance, and capex plans send AI to the sky

TSMC’s stellar Q4 results, bright Q1 guidance, and willingness to spend way more on capital expenditure than analysts had anticipated this year are giving a big jolt to the AI trade.

“We believe the strong 1Q26 guidance has likely surprised many investors to the upside,” wrote Needham analyst Charles Shi, who boosted his price target on the stock to $410 from $360 in the wake of these results. “Solid CapEx guidance should also lead to even stronger wafer fab equipment (WFE) outlook for 2026 and beyond.”

Beyond TSMC, the results are boosting other stocks tied to AI:

No single quarter of corporate earnings or guidance is sufficient proof against (or in favor of!) any kind of AI bubble, particularly when the biggest drivers of capex have consistently said the risk is spending too little rather than too much.

But TSMC is keenly aware of the potential downside of overextending itself into a future air pocket in demand, and has engaged in long-term planning and channel checks downstream to better understand the market for its products.

If TSMC’s capex plans aren’t executed well, it would be a “big disaster” for the company, CEO CC Wei said on the conference call.

But engaging with customers over their production needs for new wafers is being done “at least two to three years in advance,” he added.

“I spent a lot of time in the last three, four months talking to my customers and then my customers’ customers” to make sure that demand is real, said Wei, who came away “quite satisfied with the answer” and was shown “the evidence that the AI really helped their businesses.”

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Talen soars on new power plant purchases in giant grid feeding Data Center Alley

Talen Energy soared early Thursday after the Houston-based utility said it had bought power plants in the massive PJM exchange, which has seen rising consumer prices linked to AI infrastructure.

The Wall Street Journal reported Monday on how the run-up in prices has been a growing political headache for data center developers.

Yesterday, PJM cut its forecast for peak summer of 2027 demand, suggesting that data center electricity demand going forward may have been overstated.

But Talen’s purchase of natural gas-fueled plants — one in Indiana and two in Ohio — for $3.45 billion in cash and stock suggests the company remains bullish on the AI build-out, especially within the 13-state PJM grid. The nonprofit power grid serves 67 million people from New Jersey to Kentucky, and includes key areas of relatively high data center density such as Ohio and Virginia.

Early Thursday, Talen shares were up by the most since last July. This reaction to the latest in a string of acquisitions suggests Talen executives have an incentive to stay on offense.

The Wall Street Journal reported Monday on how the run-up in prices has been a growing political headache for data center developers.

Yesterday, PJM cut its forecast for peak summer of 2027 demand, suggesting that data center electricity demand going forward may have been overstated.

But Talen’s purchase of natural gas-fueled plants — one in Indiana and two in Ohio — for $3.45 billion in cash and stock suggests the company remains bullish on the AI build-out, especially within the 13-state PJM grid. The nonprofit power grid serves 67 million people from New Jersey to Kentucky, and includes key areas of relatively high data center density such as Ohio and Virginia.

Early Thursday, Talen shares were up by the most since last July. This reaction to the latest in a string of acquisitions suggests Talen executives have an incentive to stay on offense.

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Spotify increases its US subscription prices for the third time in 3 years

The cost to stream music and podcasts ad-free on Spotify is going up again in the US next month, marking the third price hike by the company since 2023.

The monthly cost of individual premium plans will increase from $12 to $13, while family plans will jump from $20 to $22. Spotify last raised US prices in July 2024 (and 2023 before that). This is the first price hike under the tenure of new co-CEOs Gustav Söderström and Alex Norström, who together replaced Daniel Ek earlier this month.

Spotify shares climbed about 3% after the market opened on Thursday, but has since fallen in early trading.

When it reported third-quarter earnings in November, the streamer said its global paid subscriber count had climbed to 281 million — 12% year-over-year growth. At the same time, ad-supported revenue fell 5.5% despite an 11% jump in monthly active users.

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