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A Neros Technology Archer FPV attack drone April 30, 2026 in Hohenfels, Germany. (Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

US drone stocks surge on talks of government deal, while banned Chinese drone giant fights to clear its name

The China-based market leader DJI still finds itself boxed out of the US market amid reports of a Trump administration deal to boost domestic drone production.

All is fair in love and war, unless you are a Chinese drone company.

A report today from The Wall Street Journal says that the US government is in talks to provide funding to a small group of the few American drone companies, which may include equity and debt positions. Shares of Florida-based Unusual Machines surged over 30% in pre-market trading. It’s one of the companies mentioned in the report, and it also happens to have the President’s son Donald Trump, Jr. as an investor and board member. While not mentioned as a possible recipient of government funding, other drone-linked stocks like Red Cat Holdings, Kratos Defense, AIRO Group Holdings andAeroVironment also jumped in premarket trading. Privately held Neros Technologies, which is backed by Sequoia Capital, and Performance Drone Works were also highlighted as possible recipients of government funds in the WSJ report.

The Trump administration has announced plans for equity or warrant stakes in rare earths companies, Intel, defense contractor L3Harris, and most recently, the quantum computing industry.

While it seems like a good time to be in the drone business as the US military scrambles to build a domestic supply chain for the newly crucial battlefield technology, DJI, the China-based global leader in non-military, quadcopter-style drones still finds itself boxed out of the US market.

In December 2025, the Federal Communications Commission banned all foreign-made drones, citing “an unacceptable risk to the national security of the United States.” In February, DJI sued the FCC to fight the ban, saying that the the company “has never been given the chance to provide information to address or refute any concerns.”

Today, DJI published a report showing the results of a thorough study by US cybersecurity firm OnDefend, that was commissioned by DJI. After five months of adversarial testing of the DJI Air 3S and DJI Matrice 4E drone platforms, OnDefend found no evidence of transmitting data back to China, supply chain tampering, or unauthorized backdoors in the hardware or software.

Adam Welsh, Head of Global Policy at DJI said in a statement:

“These findings confirm what DJI has consistently maintained: our products are secure, our data practices are transparent, and the concerns underlying our FCC Covered List designation are not supported by technical evidence. We commissioned this independent assessment because we believe facts should inform policy decisions. We are calling on the FCC to consider these findings carefully as part of our ongoing appeal, and we remain committed to engaging constructively with relevant authorities.”

DJI is estimated to have a dominant share of the nonmilitary drone market. Its products are used by first responders, farmers, infrastructure inspection firms, and many other small businesses. With few US-built alternatives matching the quality of DJI’s hardware and software, over 3,000 public comments were filed in opposition to the FCC’s rule on the agency’s website. 

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Dollar Tree surges on Q1 earnings beat, boost to full-year profit outlook

Dollar Tree is surging in pre-market trading after the discount retailer reported Q1 earnings that exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, prompting management to boost its full-year earnings outlook.

The key Q1 figures:

  • Adjusted EPS: $1.74 (estimate: $1.55)

  • Comparable store net sales growth: +3.5% (estimate: +3.27%)

  • Net sales: $4.97 billion (estimate:$4.96 billion)

The big strength, obviously, was in the bottom line. The company's gross profit margin expanded by 120 basis points, largely thanks to lower freight costs, higher mark-ons, and reduced product shrink.

Dollar Tree raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $6.70 to $7.10 (up from its prior forecast of $6.50 to $6.90). The $6.90 midpoint sits ahead of the $6.69 consensus estimate per Bloomberg.

Guggenheim analyst John Heinbockel noted that sentiment on Dollar Tree was sour heading into this report, with estimates weakening “on a combination of low-income household health, elevated freight expense, and even the helium shortage,” which helps explain why there’s such an “outsized reaction” to these results.

While traffic was down, the consumers that did frequent Dollar Tree were spending more: average ticket sizes were up 4.5%.

“We continued advancing our strategic plan – a more relevant assortment, agile cost management, a stronger customer connection, and new store growth coupled with improved store conditions – all driving operating margin expansion and delivering a strong bottom-line performance,” said CEO Mike Creedon in a press release.

The retailer expects to open approximately 400 new store locations while converting roughly 630 existing venues into its more profitable multi-price format.

To further lower frictions for convenience-seeking shoppers, Dollar Tree officially launched a partnership with DoorDashalongside its earnings release. The distribution agreement brings more than 9,000 stores across 48 states onto the app, allowing users to order over 10,000 products on-demand. The partnership will add to existing delivery agreements with Instacart and Uber Eats as Dollar Tree increasingly compete on convenience as well as price.

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Google worker charged with using inside information to make $1.2 million on Polymarket

Polymarket trader AlphaRaccoon wasn’t just feeling lucky when he took positions related to Google’s year-end top search results late last year, but was instead using confidential data from his position inside the company, according to a criminal complaint filed in New York that was unsealed yesterday.

Michele Spagnuolo, a staff information security engineer at Google Zurich, per his LinkedIn profile, has been charged with money laundering, commodities fraud, and wire fraud, with the account reported to have made $1.2 million across various trades. 

The complaint alleges that Spagnuolo used nonpublic information to place trades such as the rapper and alleged murderer D4vd being the No. 1 search on Google in 2025. When it was placed, Polymarket had assigned a a near-zero probability to that position.

As we noted late last year, the stakes involved and the volume of activity around this one specific subject aroused suspicion at the time, and the AlphaRaccoon (a username that was then changed to 0xafEe) account page now lies dormant as a key part of one of the first insider trading cases in the prediction market arena.

Michele Spagnuolo, a staff information security engineer at Google Zurich, per his LinkedIn profile, has been charged with money laundering, commodities fraud, and wire fraud, with the account reported to have made $1.2 million across various trades. 

The complaint alleges that Spagnuolo used nonpublic information to place trades such as the rapper and alleged murderer D4vd being the No. 1 search on Google in 2025. When it was placed, Polymarket had assigned a a near-zero probability to that position.

As we noted late last year, the stakes involved and the volume of activity around this one specific subject aroused suspicion at the time, and the AlphaRaccoon (a username that was then changed to 0xafEe) account page now lies dormant as a key part of one of the first insider trading cases in the prediction market arena.

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Nebius rises after AI hedge fund Situational Awareness discloses 5.6% stake

Nebius jumped 12% in premarket trading Thursday after Situational Awareness, the hedge fund run by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, disclosed a major stake in the AI cloud company.

According to its 13G filed Wednesday, the fund reported owning 12.4 million Class A shares of Nebius, representing a 5.6% stake worth ~$2.6 billion as of Wednesday’s closing price. The position didn’t appear in the fund’s most recent 13F filing — which covered holdings as of March 31 and included other neocloud companies such as CoreWeave and IREN — suggesting the Nebius stake was added sometime after the first quarter.

The disclosure puts Situational Awareness among Nebius’ largest disclosed institutional shareholders, at least based on the latest available ownership filings, which show BlackRock as the largest institutional holder as of March 31, with 4.5% of shares outstanding.

One of the neocloud stocks, Nebius has gained traction recently after securing large cloud contracts with Microsoft and Meta, as well as an equity investment from Nvidia and an energy partnership with Bloom. Shares are up 165% this year and a whopping 475% over the past 12 months.

Founded in 2024 by Aschenbrenner — and named after his widely read essay on artificial superintelligence — Situational Awareness has built its portfolio around the physical infrastructure AI runs on, from chips and data centers to power and compute. Per its 13F filings, the fund’s reported portfolio value climbed to $13.7 billion as of the first quarter, up nearly 2.5x from $5.5 billion at the end of 2025.

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Snowflake climbs after Q1 results top expectations, guidance gets a boost

Shares of Snowflake are surging after the company beat Wall Street’s projections in its latest earnings report, delivering on its AI thesis, with Q1 revenue up 33%.

It also announced an acquisition of an AI agent platform.

Snowflake stock soared 30% in after-hours trading. If that move were to hold on Thursday, it would more than erase Snowflake’s nearly 20% decline so far this year.

Here are the numbers:

  • Revenue of $1.39 billion in the first quarter (compared to analyst estimates of $1.32 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.39 (estimate: $0.32).

  • Full-year product revenue guidance for 2027 of $5.84 billion, up from previous guidance of $5.66 billion (estimate: $5.67 billion).

Snowflake is a cloud-based database company — essentially allowing businesses to mine their data for insights, charging for compute and storage along the way.

The company’s stock has fallen this year as the company manages competition from hyperscalers like Amazon Web Services as well as the high cost of AI-related build-outs as they double down on AI tools.

On Wednesday, Snowflake announced an eye-popping $6 billion multiyear deal with AWS to “to accelerate enterprise agentic AI adoption.”

Last year, Snowflake — which now calls itself “the AI Data Cloud company” — announced a $200 million deal to power its agentic AI with Anthropic’s Claude.

Alongside its Q1 earnings, Snowflake also announced it has signed an agreement to purchase Natoma, a platform for securely integrating AI agents with data, like Snowflake’s. Terms of the deal weren’t disclosed.

“AI agents will only become enterprise-ready if organizations can govern how they operate across systems, applications and tools,” said Pratyus Patnaik, cofounder and CEO of Natoma. “Together with Snowflake, we’re building the governance and connectivity layer that enables enterprises to securely operationalize AI at scale.”

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Synopsys drops despite better-than-expected Q2 results, big boost to full-year guidance

Synopsys is falling in postmarket trading despite delivering better-than-expected quarterly results and boosting full-year guidance by more than analysts had anticipated.

For its fiscal Q2, the electronic design automation firm (which helps chipmakers make chips) reported:

  • Revenue of $2.28 billion (compared to analyst estimates of $2.25 billion and guidance for $2.25 billion, plus or minus $25 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $3.35 (estimate: $3.14, guidance for $3.14 plus or minus $0.03).

Management boosted its full-year sales outlook to a range of $9.63 billion to $9.71 billion; the consensus estimate matches the low end of that range. On the bottom line, Synopsys now expects adjusted earnings per share between $14.72 and $14.80, which is well about the consensus call for $14.45.

The company has received two high-profile backers since December: Nvidia unveiled a stake in the company that month as part of a partnership to “design, simulate and verify intelligent products.” More recently, Elliott Investment Management took an activist position in the company, reportedly pushing for higher sales and margins closer to its peer Cadence Design Systems.

Along with these results, management announced that the company entered into a cooperation pact with Elliott, and is adding Elliot Managing Partner Jesse Cohn to the board.

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