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Luke Kawa

US stocks have nasty hangover after Wednesday’s rousing party

US stocks gave back a big chunk of the prior session’s gains as the relief rally petered out.

The S&P 500 fell 3.5%, the Nasdaq 100 slumped 4.2%, and the Russell 2000 brought up the rear with a 4.3% decline.

A tip of the cap to Tom Hearden, who flagged that this is a record sixth-straight session with more than 20 billion shares traded across all US exchanges.

Every S&P 500 sector ETF declined, save for consumer staples. Energy brought up the rear with a massive 6.5% loss, while tech also lagged.

Used auto retailer CarMax tanked after removing timelines from its financial goals and selling fewer units than expected.

Constellation Brands managed to eke out a small gain despite issuing a downbeat outcome, citing tariffs and acute pressure on the Hispanic consumer.

Wall Street had its knives out today for a host of companies.

Shares of Royal Caribbean sank after the cruise line had its price target cut at Stifel and Morgan Stanley.

UBS analysts downgraded General Motors to “neutral” and cut its price target on the stock, as well as on shares of Tesla, Ford, and Rivian.

Nvidia fell more than 5% after Morgan Stanley analysts warned that the chipmaker and its peers still faced serious headwinds from tariffs that remain in effect, not to mention industry-specific levies that may be in train.

The White House also clarified that the tariff rate on China actually went up to 145%. All those US stocks with big exposure to China that outperformed the S&P 500 yesterday cratered today, losing more than 5%.

Pradas deal to buy Versace overcame some last-minute wobbles to cross the finish line.

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Oracle jumps after Q3 results exceed expectations, boost to sales guidance

Oracle had gained nearly 12% in early trading on Wednesday after the company's quarterly results and outlook gave investors reason to cheer.

The hyperscaler reported:

  • Sales of $17.2 billion (estimate: $16.9 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.79 (estimate: $1.70).

  • RPO (remaining performance obligations, or backlog) of $553 billion (estimate: $537.8 billion).

Oracle’s closely watched capex for the quarter was $18.64 billion, above analyst estimates of $14 billion.

Management also raised its sales outlook for the next fiscal year to $90 billion; analysts had expected $86.7 billion.

One year ago, management suggested that its fiscal 2027 top-line growth rate would be around 20%. And last quarter, the company said that 2027 sales would be $4 billion higher than previously expected. Putting this all together, this means Oracle’s previous 2027 sales guidance was in the neighborhood of $84.4 billion ahead of this report.

Breaking down Oracle’s cloud business:

  • Cloud revenue was $8.9 billion, up 44% year on year.

  • Cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.9 billion, up 84% year on year.

  • Cloud application revenue was $4 billion, up 13% year on year.

All of those figures were marginally ahead of estimates.

The cloud company’s elevated indebtedness and expected cash burn compare unfavorably to other hyperscalers, which caused markets to treat its aggressive capex plans as more risky than those of its peers. That’s been exacerbated by OpenAI, itself a cash incinerator, being the source of much of Oracle’s pipeline of future business.

Oracle’s five-year credit default swap spreads widened significantly from mid-September through late January due to this counterparty and credit risk. The company’s perceived creditworthiness recovered after announcing plans to raise money through equity, not just debt, to find its expansion plans, before CDS spreads once again blew out to their widest level since 2009.

“Oracle has been stained by the negative sentiment around OpenAI and is generally viewed as a poster child for AI Capex excess / madness and so a super squeezy rally in the stock could tell us AI Capex fears have peaked for now,” Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, wrote ahead of this release.

Oracle shares took a beating recently, as a number of analysts have lowered their price targets for the stock, which is down about 56% from its 52-week high of $345.72.

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Boeing faces Q1 delivery slowdown after discovering 737 Max wiring issues

Boeing shares dropped on Tuesday following the company’s announcement that it will delay some 737 Max deliveries this month after discovering scratches on wiring within the planes.

According to the plane maker, fixing the issues could take a matter of days for each plane. This could impact March and Q1 delivery figures, but Boeing doesn’t expect yearly totals to be affected.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Tehran’s Shahran oil depot burns after US and Israeli attacks. (Photo by Hassan Ghaedi/Anadolu via Getty Images)

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