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Wall Street is talking a lot more about stablecoins

The steady creep of crypto closer to the traditional financial sector is a key theme of the markets this year.

Matt Phillips

Stablecoins — crypto assets typically pegged to the US dollar and supposedly backed by ample, easy to sell, super safe securities like US Treasurys — are thought to be the most boring corner of the crypto market. By design, they don’t offer the wild, potentially lucrative swings that have enticed crypto traders in recent years.

But try telling that to investors of Circle, the issuer of the second-largest stablecoin, USDC. Since the company started trading publicly in early June, it’s up over 600%. Coinbase, which co-launched USDC with Circle through the Centre Consortium and is a major player in increasing its adoption, is up more than 50% this year and just touched a new high.

In part, that’s because stablecoins’ status as the seemingly safest part of the crypto-verse has put the dollar substitutes at the bleeding edge of a key theme powering market momentum this year: steadily increasing connections between crypto and the traditional, regulated US financial system.

That fusion has gathered pace since President Trump’s second administration began. The White House has publicly embraced crypto and pushed to ease regulations on an industry that — as should be noted — has directly and personally enriched the sitting president and his family. (One estimate said that for the year through April, the Trump family and its business partners had made some $350 million in fees on its trump coin.)

But pro-crypto pressure is also coming from the legislative branch, where crypto has emerged as a key source of political donations over the last couple years. The bipartisan GENIUS Act — which would set the rules of the road for stablecoins — passed the Senate in June. And while it still faces hurdles in the House, the writing seems to be on the wall that stablecoins, in some incarnation, will be connected to the US banking system in the not too distant future.

Case in point: stablecoin-related chatter from S&P 500 companies is picking up steam as we head into the heart of earnings season, especially from the big Wall Street banks that reported this week.

Even before that, the appearance of the term in conference call transcripts surged to a new high in June, FactSet data shows, which doesn’t even count this week’s comments from the big US banks. At last glance, financial titans talking stablecoins included Mastercard, BlackRock, Bank of New York Mellon, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs.

For the record, many of the bankers have merely acknowledged developments on the stablecoin regulation front, telling analysts that they’re “following closely” or some such pabulum.

But the uptick in chatter is often triggered by questions from analysts, who are likely interested to know if some of the stablecoin fairy dust that supercharged Circle shares could rub off on the old-school banks they cover. That suggests there’s a lot more stablecoin talk to come.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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