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Walmart suffers biggest drop in more than a year as earnings forecast disappoints

Shares sink after the world’s largest retailer said to expect slower profit and sales growth.

Walmart shares skidded on Thursday after the world’s largest retailer warned of slower profit and sales growth, despite posting fourth-quarter results that topped expectations.

The stock’s current 6.2% drop would be its biggest one-day decline since November of 2023, according to FactSet data. Shares of rivals including Target, Costco, Dollar Tree, and Dollar General were slightly lower in early trading. Despite today’s stock drop, Walmart’s stock is still up around 77% over the past year.

Walmart’s revenue rose 4% for the holiday quarter, hitting $180.55 billion, slightly above Wall Street expectations of $180.01 billion. E-commerce was a standout, jumping 20% in the US as more shoppers opted for store pickups and at-home deliveries. Higher-income customers, or households making $100,000 a year or more, continued to be big contributors to the gains. 

But investors were disappointed by the company’s guidance for fiscal 2025. Walmart expects net sales to grow 3% to 4%, with adjusted operating income rising between 3.5% and 5.5% — well below last year’s 9.6% growth. The retailer also forecasted full-year earnings of $2.50 to $2.60 per share, falling short of Wall Street’s $2.76 estimate. 

While consumer spending has stayed steady, Walmart is still adjusting for geopolitical risks and potential tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada. Walmart sources the majority of its goods domestically, but said it’s prepared to adjust its supply chain and lean more into private-label brands if tariffs take effect.

Still, Walmart’s core business remains strong. US same-store sales rose 4.6%, with Sam’s Club seeing an even bigger 6.8% gain.

Walmart also laid out a 13% dividend increase to $0.94 per share — the biggest hike in over a decade.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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