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Weed stocks rally on reports that Trump admin is close to reclassifying marijuana

It’s not the first (or second or third) time that the Trump administration has been rumored to be considering reclassification.

J. Edward Moreno

Cannabis stocks are rallying on a series of reports that the Trump administration is close to reclassifying marijuana, a move that would instantly make a group of battered US weed companies more profitable.

The Washington Post first reported Thursday evening that President Trump is expected to issue an executive order that directs federal agencies to pursue reclassification. Several other publications confirmed that reporting.

Cannabis stocks have soared on the reports. AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF, a benchmark for US cannabis operators, is up nearly 40% in premarket trading. Canadian weed companies Tilray, Canopy Growth, and SNDL Inc. are up more than 20% as well.

The order could come as soon as Monday, CNBC reported. A White House official told Reuters that “no final decisions have been made on the rescheduling of marijuana.”

Under former President Biden, the Department of Justice announced in April 2024 that it would recommend reclassifying marijuana, though that process was bogged down. The recent reports are not the first (or second or third) time that the Trump administration has been rumored to be considering reclassification.

Dan Ahrens, manager of the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF, said, “This is the most confident we’ve been.” He added that what’s different now is that “support has been building steadily rather than appearing in isolated headlines,” pointing to August remarks Trump made saying his administration is “looking at reclassification.

“Taken together, those actions send a consistent signal that rescheduling is not hypothetical,” Ahrens said. “It is actively on the table.”

Reclassifying marijuana does not mean it can be sold in every state, but it would lift some regulatory burdens that weigh on US cannabis companies’ margins. American cannabis operators struggle with limited access to banking, an unfriendly tax code, and high levels of debt without the benefit of bankruptcy protections.

“If implemented, it dismantles nearly a century of outdated drug policies that fly in the face of science and medicine,” said Shawn Hauser, a partner at Vicente LLP, a law firm that caters to the cannabis industry.

“However, this would be only a partial victory; legalization and the resolution of fundamental regulatory gaps remain the urgent work ahead.”

While the weed industry has some supporters in Trump’s orbit, Republicans have historically been more aligned with moral arguments against reform. In the most recent funding bill passed last month, Republicans slipped in a ban on hemp-derived THC products.

According to the Post, the president met with cannabis industry executives on Wednesday along with Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services chief Mehmet Oz.

During that meeting, he called House Speaker Mike Johnson, who was skeptical of the idea. The executives pushed back and Trump appeared convinced, the Post reported.

Art Massolo, president of the US Hemp Roundtable, noted that reclassifying marijuana wouldn’t do much for the hemp industry behind the THC seltzers that have grown in popularity in recent years. It “maybe gives hemp a halo effect to make it a little bit easier to delay the McConnell hemp ban,” he said in an email.

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Novo Nordisk's slide continues after CEO warns of “unprecedented pricing pressure” as outlook overshadows Q4 results

Novo Nordisk’s shares are tumbling further in premarket trading on Wednesday after CEO Mike Doustdar warned that the Danish pharma giant will face “unprecedented” price pressures in 2026, addressing the company’s annual sales forecast which showed a decline in revenue.

“Our 2026 guidance reflects a year of unprecedented pricing pressure,” said Doustdar on a call with journalists, adding in an interview with CNBC that people should expect that US pricing “goes down before it comes back up,” as headwinds from lower US Wegovy pricing emain.

On Tuesday, NVO shares fell double-digits after it forecast that sales and operating profit for 2026 will both decline by between 5% and 13% — analysts were expecting very modest growth in each.

In its 2025 annual report, released on Wednesday morning, the company detailed the disappointing guidance, citing “lower realised prices, including the MFN (“Most Favoured Nations”) agreement in the US and the loss of exclusivity for the semaglutide molecule in certain markets in International Operations.” Novo also added that “positive impacts related to US gross-to-net sales adjustments during 2025 are not anticipated to reoccur.”

Across its actual Q4 results, things were a little rosier: sales and diluted EPS figures for Q4 2025 came in at $12.3 billion and $0.94, respectively, slightly beating analyst consensus estimates in both cases by 0.9% and 1.4% (forecasts compiled by Bloomberg).

While Novo was first to the GLP-1 market, it faces fierce competition from Eli Lilly, which surpassed it in sales by the second quarter of last year. While Novo launched a new oral GLP-1 for weight loss in January — and early signs show uptake is strong — Lilly also has a weight loss pill expected to come to market later this year. Novo is also facing patent expiry for semaglutide, the active ingredient in Ozempic and Wegovy, starting this year in major markets like Canada, India and China.

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Lumentum jumps on earnings beat and strong guidance

Lumentum rose about 9% in pre-market trading on Wednesday after the optical and photonics company reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings and guidance.

For the quarter ended December, revenue rose 65% year-on-year to a record $665.5 million, topping Wall Street's estimate of $652.5 million, per Bloomberg. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.67, also crushing the $1.42 expected. Looking ahead, Lumentum projected March-quarter revenue of $780 million to $830 million, well above analyst estimates for $745 million.

Lumentum sells optical and photonics components that power telecom networks and cloud data centers, with its customers ranging from equipment makers like Cisco and Ciena to hyperscalers such as Microsoft and Google, which are ramping up AI-heavy data center builds. The company also supplies lasers used in consumer electronics manufacturing, including for Apple.

On the earnings call, management said the order backlog for Optical Circuit Switches (OCS) — a high-margin product used by hyperscalers to build AI clusters — has now surged past $400 million.

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Nvidia poised to invest $20 billion in OpenAI, per report

Nvidia is close to investing $20 billion in OpenAI’s funding round, per Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter.

That would make its OpenAI stake more than the market value of chip designer’s entire portfolio of publicly traded stocks (a little over $15 billion, assuming no changes since their most recent filings).

Media reports have suggested that Amazon and SoftBank would be contributing even more to this oft-discussed funding round, in which the Sam Altman-led venture is aiming to raise $100 billion.

It’s a fairly happy ending after the two sides traded barbs in the press over the past few days, with the Wall Street Journal reporting that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had privately questioned the “lack of discipline” in the ChatGPT maker’s business approach, while sources told Reuters that OpenAI was “unsatisfied” by the performance of Nvidia’s AI chips and seeking alternatives.

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Chipotle beats Q4 estimates, but sinks on underwhelming full-year guidance

Chipotle reported earnings results that beat Wall Street estimates, but gave underwhelming full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Chipotle reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.25, compared to the $0.24 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue of $3 billion, a bit higher than the $2.9 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A comparable-store sales decline of 2.5%, less than the 2.9% decline the Street was expecting.

For the full year in 2026, Chipotle expects:

  • Comparable-store sales to be flat, compared to the 1.7% growth analysts were expecting.

Chipotle has struggled to spark sales over the past year and has previously cited strained consumers as a major headwind. The company fell more than 9% in after-hours trading shortly after the report was released.

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