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Palantir Ontology
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What the heck is Palantir’s “Ontology”?

This obscure philosophical term is the key to the company’s AI business.

I’ll be honest. I often have no idea what Palantir CEO Alex Karp is talking about.

On conference calls and elsewhere, the highly compensated, frazzle-haired executive can veer from victory laps on the company’s performance, to claims out of left field of Western civilization’s superiority, to bizarre revenge fantasies aimed at short sellers, and on and on and on.

Until recently, one of the things that I rolled my eyes at was Karp’s relentless insertion of terms best left in the philosophy grad student lounge — dialectic, determinative, ontology — into what could have been straightforward discussions of sales and profit and expectations.

(Side note: All journalists are contractually obligated to note that Karp received a Ph.D. in philosophy in neoclassical social theory from Goethe University in Frankfurt.)

Except somewhere along the line, that last word — ontology, “a branch of metaphysics concerned with the nature and relations of being,” if that helps — became Ontology, a key component of a product that’s central to Palantir’s rapidly growing business selling its software package to corporations.

As Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar said on the company’s most recent conference call, when asked what the company’s competitive advantage is in selling AI software: “Our advantage comes down to Ontology. It’s really an advantage on the AI demand side. And that has positioned AIP to be the platform that is able to capture the ever-expanding capability of the raw LLMs and turn that into business value.”

That sounds pretty important. But it’s still kind of difficult to understand what, exactly, Ontology is. The company itself is only vaguely helpful, explaining that “the Ontology serves as a digital twin of the organization, containing both the semantic elements (objects, properties, links) and kinetic elements (actions, functions, dynamic security) needed to enable use cases of all types.”

A new note out from Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz, who covers the stock, attempts to explain it a bit, writing, essentially, that it’s a tool in “which fragmented data can be unified and transformed into operational knowledge.”

Goldman analysts who published a note back in March on Palantir’s tech stack did somewhat better. They call Ontology the “core technical differentiation” that “bridges the gap between the raw data across an organization (structured, unstructured, siloed, etc.) and operational decision-making.” Goldman’s analysts elaborated:

“Consider a global manufacturer: in a traditional data approach, it would have separate databases/tables for its suppliers, shipments, warehouses, and products.

However, these are just rows and columns linked by foreign keys (i.e. a column in one table that references the primary key in another table).

Palantir’s ontology instead models real-world objects and their associated relationships: 1) the ‘supplier’ represents a business partner, with direct connections to shipments; 2) the ‘shipment’ represents the physical movements of goods linked to both ‘suppliers’ and ‘warehouses’; 3) the ‘warehouse’ is a location storing products, linked to ‘shipments’ and ‘inventory’; 4) the ‘product’ is an item with attributes like stock levels, demand forecasts, and risk factors.

Thus, if a shipment is delayed, all affected products, warehouses, and suppliers are automatically updated in the ontology.”

Things are now getting a bit clearer. Essentially, Ontology is Palantir’s way of refining, structuring, and connecting the myriad kinds of data and information pipelines companies constantly use, creating a new stable foundation on which the company can run Palantir software.

You can see why this could be a pretty big advantage.

For one thing, it can take a significant investment of a company’s time to create that foundation, which is typically done by engineers employed by both Palantir — what they call “forward deployed engineers,” or FDEs — and the corporation itself.

It can take weeks and even months. That’s a process of going open kimono (digitally speaking), potentially exposing the company’s trade secrets, customer information, and any number of other sensitive areas to outsiders.

In other words, they’re not going to want to do it very often. That means that “switching costs” of getting rid of Palantir software are extraordinarily high once you have your Ontology established. Imagine the hassle of changing your bank account, except exponentially worse. That’s a pretty formidable competitive moat.

According to Goldman, there are other advantages as well. For instance, the pipelines feeding Palantir’s Ontologies are designed to work with real-time data. Most competitor programs that extract data are designed to be bulk updated at regularly scheduled intervals, Goldman says.

In theory, that should enable tools built on Palantir’s foundation to offer more real-time insight into the business, as data flowing in and out of the company is constantly updated.

And, importantly, Palantir’s forward deployed engineers continue to work with their assigned companies after establishing the Ontology foundation, developing custom tools and bits of software.

Palantir itself can then incorporate those custom tools into its own software offerings to similar companies, which — as Palantir grows its customer base — should translate into higher profits as the company sells software its engineers have already done the work of creating.

“This is an iterative process in which FDEs determine custom use cases solving problems for this one customer while the product development engineers standardize these solutions so they can be scaled across similar verticals, enabling Palantir to engage with more customers at incrementally better margins,” Goldman wrote.

Of course, that ontological layer of organized data can also serve as a base layer linking a company’s data feeds to the hottest thing in software: AI.

“Realizing value from AI in the enterprise requires the elegant integration of LLMs, workflow, and software,” Palantir CTO Shyam said on the company’s last conference call. “And that’s only possible with Ontology.”

Maybe. Maybe not. But it’s a pretty nice sales pitch. And judging from the company’s expected sales growth rate of 45% this year — it’s working.

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AI server cluster maker Penguin Solutions takes flight

Small-cap AI server cluster maker Penguin Solutions surged Thursday after posting better-than-expected Q2 revenue and profit numbers Wednesday after the close, along with an increase in full-year sales and profit guidance.

The company, which was known as Smart Global Holdings until July 2024, has positioned itself as a provider of “end-to-end AI infrastructure solutions.”

Its Advanced Computing division designs and sells computers, cabling, and cooling systems, the server racks and clusters of racks AI data centers need. Its other main division sells flash and DRAM memory products.

It’s a pretty small company, with a fully diluted market cap of just over $1 billion and roughly 2,900 employees, according to FactSet.

The stock is volatile. Penguin dove during last year’s tariff tantrum that followed “Liberation Day” in April. Then it turned tail and doubled through early October amid a surge of call options activity, which tends to reflect retail interest. From the October peak, it then plunged by about 50%, before Thursday’s renaissance.

For what it’s worth, call options activity in Penguin is pretty busy today, too — relatively speaking — with roughly 2,625 traded as of 1:15 p.m. ET. That’s the most since early January, when the company last reported quarterly numbers. The average volume over the previous 25 trading sessions is about 325 calls a day, FactSet data shows.

The company, which was known as Smart Global Holdings until July 2024, has positioned itself as a provider of “end-to-end AI infrastructure solutions.”

Its Advanced Computing division designs and sells computers, cabling, and cooling systems, the server racks and clusters of racks AI data centers need. Its other main division sells flash and DRAM memory products.

It’s a pretty small company, with a fully diluted market cap of just over $1 billion and roughly 2,900 employees, according to FactSet.

The stock is volatile. Penguin dove during last year’s tariff tantrum that followed “Liberation Day” in April. Then it turned tail and doubled through early October amid a surge of call options activity, which tends to reflect retail interest. From the October peak, it then plunged by about 50%, before Thursday’s renaissance.

For what it’s worth, call options activity in Penguin is pretty busy today, too — relatively speaking — with roughly 2,625 traded as of 1:15 p.m. ET. That’s the most since early January, when the company last reported quarterly numbers. The average volume over the previous 25 trading sessions is about 325 calls a day, FactSet data shows.

markets

Momentum returns to optics stocks as the release valve for AI optimism

Potentially imminent end to the war? Buy optics stocks.

Maybe not? Buy optics stocks anyway.

Effectively all the juice left in the AI trade is coming from optics (and memory) stocks. And the latter group is taking a bit of a breather today while the former continues to surge.

Shares of Ciena Corp., Lumentum, and Coherent are building on recent big gains and among the biggest gainers in the S&P 500 near midday, while Applied Optoelectronics is also surging on Thursday.

These companies all provide solutions that help information move around in data centers, and thus are key beneficiaries of the aggressive capex plans of hyperscalers. Nvidia has invested $2 billion apiece in Coherent and Lumentum in deals that also include purchase commitments.

markets

Space stocks rip during a topsy-turvy day for the equity market

Satellite-services-from-space stocks surged Thursday after reports that Amazon is in talks to buy Globalstar, which provides voice and connectivity services from its satellite network. It also can’t hurt that the general mood around space is ebullient, following the successful launch of Artemis II on Thursday.

Planet Labs and ViaSat also soared on the news.

The gains for EchoStar — seen as a backdoor play at pre-IPO SpaceX exposure — and Rocket Lab were more muted, perhaps because a deep-pocketed competitor like Jeff Bezos getting serious about space services could complicate the plans of the two largest commercial space launch companies.

Rocket Lab and SpaceX see launch services as key to their aspirations of being major providers of voice and data services from low-Earth orbit satellites.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the dominant provider of such services, and the early rumors on the company’s planned IPO — expected to be the largest ever — suggest the market is very excited about the prospects for the industry.

Elsewhere in the space stock world, Intuitive Machines — a maker of space infrastructure that provides services to NASA for lunar missions — also rose.

The gains for EchoStar — seen as a backdoor play at pre-IPO SpaceX exposure — and Rocket Lab were more muted, perhaps because a deep-pocketed competitor like Jeff Bezos getting serious about space services could complicate the plans of the two largest commercial space launch companies.

Rocket Lab and SpaceX see launch services as key to their aspirations of being major providers of voice and data services from low-Earth orbit satellites.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX is the dominant provider of such services, and the early rumors on the company’s planned IPO — expected to be the largest ever — suggest the market is very excited about the prospects for the industry.

Elsewhere in the space stock world, Intuitive Machines — a maker of space infrastructure that provides services to NASA for lunar missions — also rose.

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