markets

Luke Kawa3/19/25

Zero Magnificent 7 stocks are beating the S&P 500 over the past three months

An exclamation point for my recent screed on why the “Magnificent 7” moniker is not long for this world:

All seven are now lagging the S&P 500 over the past three months. It’s the first time since November 2022 — a period that encompasses the final phase of selling in the last bear market and the start of the bull market we may still currently be in — that no member of the cohort has outperformed the S&P 500 over a 63-session stretch.

Back then, “Magnificent 7” as a title for these stocks didn’t even exist!

Each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.

Meta became the final member of the group to falter with Tuesday’s big drop, which saw the stock go negative on the year for the first time. Like Alphabet and Amazon, it closed at 2025 lows. Nothing out of Nvidia is rejuvenating the bulls. Apple is floundering on AI, which is putting a ceiling on iPhone upgrade cycles. Microsoft is even down over the past year. As for Tesla, well, there’s no shortage of reasons why that stock’s postelection romp higher has taken a turn for the worse.

The S&P 500 is off 7.2% over the past 63 sessions. While Meta is barely lagging the benchmark US stock index, most members of the cohort have fallen about twice as much and Tesla has nearly halved during this span.

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United Airlines rallies after Q4 earnings and Q1 profit guidance top estimates

Shares of United Airlines are rising after the bell on Tuesday, following the release of the carrier’s fourth-quarter and full-year earnings report.

United posted adjusted earnings per share of $3.10 in Q4, above the $2.92 per share expected by Wall Street analysts polled by Bloomberg. Sales of $15.4 billion were roughly in line with the consensus estimate.

The airline also:

Forecast full-year earnings per share between $12 and $14, bracketing Wall Street’s call for $13.04. For Q1, management sees EPS between $1.00 and $1.50, the midpoint of which is above the $1.16 expected by Wall Street.
Booked $13.93 billion in passenger revenue on the quarter, up nearly 5% year over year.

“Strong revenue momentum has continued into 2026,” according the company’s press release. “The week ending January 4th was the highest flown revenue week in United history, and the week ending January 11th was the highest ticketing week and the highest week for business sales in United history.”

UAL’s premium ticket revenue climbed 9% compared to a 7% increase in basic economy revenue. The “K-shaped economy” has become increasingly visible in travel trends at major US airlines. Last week, Delta’s revenue from first-class and business passengers eclipsed its main cabin revenue for the first time.

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POET Technologies nears multiyear high on strong call demand after flagship product wins award

POET Technologies is surging on heavy volumes and high call demand after announcing that it won a Product Innovation Award at China’s Infostone awards.

The honor went to the optical communications company’s flagship product, the Teralight, which uses light to move data between chips.

“Unveiled less than a year ago at the 2025 OFC Conference, POET Teralight has driven commercial interest in the Company because of its highly integrated design and complete optical system-on-chip architecture that simplifies module development,” per the press release.

This award may be the latest excuse to buy the stock, which is up over 40% year to date.

Call activity is elevated, with nearly 37,000 having changed hands as of 10:55 a.m. ET, well above the 20-day average of 28,030 for a full session. Shares are approaching their multi-year high of $9.41.

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