markets

Luke Kawa3/19/25

Zero Magnificent 7 stocks are beating the S&P 500 over the past three months

An exclamation point for my recent screed on why the “Magnificent 7” moniker is not long for this world:

All seven are now lagging the S&P 500 over the past three months. It’s the first time since November 2022 — a period that encompasses the final phase of selling in the last bear market and the start of the bull market we may still currently be in — that no member of the cohort has outperformed the S&P 500 over a 63-session stretch.

Back then, “Magnificent 7” as a title for these stocks didn’t even exist!

Each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.

Meta became the final member of the group to falter with Tuesday’s big drop, which saw the stock go negative on the year for the first time. Like Alphabet and Amazon, it closed at 2025 lows. Nothing out of Nvidia is rejuvenating the bulls. Apple is floundering on AI, which is putting a ceiling on iPhone upgrade cycles. Microsoft is even down over the past year. As for Tesla, well, there’s no shortage of reasons why that stock’s postelection romp higher has taken a turn for the worse.

The S&P 500 is off 7.2% over the past 63 sessions. While Meta is barely lagging the benchmark US stock index, most members of the cohort have fallen about twice as much and Tesla has nearly halved during this span.

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General Fusion CEO Greg Twinney spoke with Sherwood News from the Nasdaq during the stock’s first day of trading.

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markets

J. Edward Moreno7/7/26

SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

US job growth falls far short of estimates in June; unemployment rate unexpectedly dips to 4.2%

Job growth was 57,000. Analysts foresaw job growth of 113,000; prediction markets were more optimistic, looking for job growth above 125,000 but below 150,000.

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Meta surges on report it’s starting a cloud business to sell excess AI compute

The story of the hyperscalers in 2026 has largely been “the beatings will continue until the cash flow outlook improves;” this could help change the story for Meta. Or not.

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markets

Paige Oamek6/30/26

Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).
Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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