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Customs revenues
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The US is raking in record customs revenues in April

New Treasury data shows a surge in border tax earnings from tariffs, though they still fall short of some figures Trump’s been touting.

America is cashing in at the border like never before, powered by the first real wave of President Trump’s tariffs.

According to Treasury data through April 23, the US collected a record $15.6 billion in customs revenues this month — a 63% jump from March and the largest monthly haul ever recorded, even with a chunk of April still to come.

Customs revenues
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This month is likely only a preview of what’s to come. Due to the Treasury’s collection cycle, much of the April figure only reflects tariffs on March imports, per Bloomberg — chiefly the 25% duties on steel and aluminum that kicked in on March 12. What’s not yet showing in the April numbers are Trump’s 10% baseline tariffs on nearly all imports, effective April 9, meaning the numbers will almost certainly climb even higher in May.

Zooming out, though, the latest figures roughly translate to average border tax revenues of $919 million for each day that the Treasury’s reported in April — definitely way up from where they were, but not quite the $3 billion daily figure that Trump was touting at the start of last week.

It’s worth noting that the $15.6 billion figure also includes excise taxes (those levied on specific imported goods like fuel, alcohol, and tobacco), so the customs-only revenue is likely a bit lower. This will be available next month when the Monthly Treasury Statement for April is released.

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OK, so when was the longest shutdown in US history?

The US government officially shut down at 12:01 a.m. on Wednesday after senators failed to agree on a last-minute funding bill. Though initially shrugging off the threat of a shutdown during yesterday’s session, stocks were mildly in the red on Wednesday as investors reacted to what is now the 11th shutdown in the government’s history.

Until this latest shutdown, there had been 20 government funding gaps experienced since 1976 — though not all ended in a full shutdown, with full closure averted in half of those cases.

Indeed, prior to the 1980s, funding gaps didn’t typically have major effects on government operations, with agencies continuing to operate on the basis that the funding would come eventually. However, a more stringent interpretation of the rules led to a stricter appropriations process from the early 1980s onward, with many subsequent funding gaps resulting in a shutdown of affected agencies (unless the gaps were quickly fixed or occurred over a weekend).

Obviously, the duration of the latest shutdown is still unclear, but it will continue until Congress passes a funding bill — most likely via a “continuing resolution,” which has ended every shutdown since 1990. Data analyzed by USAFacts suggest that it might not be a one- or two-day affair, as funding gaps have lengthened in recent years.

Government shutdown patterns
Sherwood News

Indeed, the last shutdown, which began in December 2018, ended up becoming the longest in history, at a whopping 34 days. By the time the government reopened in January 2019, about $3 billion (in 2019 dollars) had been wiped from the GDP in Q4, per data from the Congressional Budget Office, with approximately $18 billion in “federal discretionary spending” delayed over the roughly five-week stretch.

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GM climbs following upgrade, report that Trump administration seeks stake in its lithium mine partner

Shares of General Motors rose more than 2% in premarket trading Wednesday following an upgrade of the stock by UBS from neutral to buy. The firm also hiked its price target for GM by 45% to $81.

Also likely elevating GM was a Reuters report that the Trump administration is exploring taking a 10% stake in Lithium Americas, the automaker’s partner in a yet to open Thacker Pass lithium mine. Shares of Lithium Americas surged 68% in the premarket.

GM, which invested $625 million into the lithium mine last year, holds a 38% stake in the joint venture. The mine is expected to become the Western Hemispheres primary lithium source in 2028, when it’s slated to open, producing enough of the metal to make 800,000 electric vehicle batteries.

Prior to its plans for Lithium Americas, the Trump administration last month said it would take a 10% stake in Intel. In July, it announced a 15% stake in rare earths miner MP Materials.

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