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Game on: The largest acquisition in video game history just got a big green light

Game on: The largest acquisition in video game history just got a big green light

Game on

Yesterday, a US federal judge gave Microsoft the green light to proceed with its planned $69bn acquisition of video game maker Activision Blizzard, effectively thwarting the FTC's attempt to halt the deal. The decision resulted in Activision Blizzard's share price surging to $92, the closest it's come to the $95-per-share price that Microsoft offered, suggesting investors expect the deal to go through.

Since its announcement in January 2022, the deal has encountered various obstacles, including a recent block by UK regulators, but this ruling paves the way for its completion before the agreed-upon deadline of July 18th. It also means Microsoft will avoid paying Activision the hefty $3 billion breakup fee that would have been incurred had the deal fallen through.

Leveling up

Activision Blizzard came into existence following a merger in 2008 between two prominent video game publishers, Activision and Vivendi Games. That brought together the creators of popular franchises such as Call of Duty and Guitar Hero with the talented developers behind World of Warcraft, Diablo, and Overwatch, establishing a behemoth in the video game industry.

However, just as the new gaming partnership was taking shape, a seismic shift was occurring with the rise of mobile gaming. As smartphones became ubiquitous, portable gaming devices were suddenly in millions of pockets. Recognizing the trend, Activision Blizzard dug into its pockets again, this time to acquire King, the producer of mobile sensation Candy Crush, for $5.9 billion in 2016. That laid the foundation for the company's mobile division, which last year accounted for nearly half of its $7.5bn+ of sales.

With mobile gaming still the fastest-growing segment of the entire market, per analytics firm NewZoo, Microsoft looks set to add a prestigious roster of games into its Xbox empire... with expertise in every format.

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Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

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Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

ARC-AGI-3

The toughest AI benchmark just got a whole lot tougher

ARC-AGI-3 is the latest version of a clever benchmark that challenges AI models to solve mini video games with no written instructions.

Jon Keegan3/26/26

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.