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Share of Apple customers who use each service
Sherwood News

How Apple keeps making money off you in between iPhone purchases

As Apple dismantles its walled garden, other services revenue could become more important.

Rani Molla

Apple’s services segment is increasingly important to its bottom line as a critical revenue source to counterbalance its slowing hardware sales.

Services, which accounts for a quarter of the iPhone maker’s revenue but more than 40% of its gross profit last quarter, is also under siege on multiple fronts.

For one, regulators have been successfully pushing the company to open up its walled garden, by allowing third-party apps to replace its native ones. That’s important because the company could lose some of the income it derives from fees associated with things like the App Store and Apple Pay as consumers get more alternatives.

And even Apple competitor Google’s problems might become its own problems. To remedy its monopoly, Google could be forced to ditch its exclusive deal Apple to make it the default search engine on iPhones. Apple, makes tens of billions of dollars a year from that deal, which, as Business Insider’s Peter Kafka has pointed out, is a huge component of Apple’s services revenue.

That means that other types of service revenue could become more important to Apple.

New data from market research firm Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP), which surveys people who recently purchased Apple products, provides a look into what those might be.

CIPR found that iCloud remains one of the most popular services, with about two thirds of recent Apple buyers paying for the service. It’s followed by Apple Music and Apple Podcasts.

CIRP doesn’t ask consumers about their App Store usage or search habits because they don’t have much discretion in that matter — nor would they be able to accurately pick out how many apps they’ve downloaded or how much they’ve transacted on them — but those are major contributions to services revenue.

“The services that we're listing here, the consumers do have choice,” Michael Levin, CIRP partner and cofounder, told Sherwood. “You don't have to use iCloud. You could use Dropbox, you could use Google Drive.”

The share of Apple consumers using AppleCare on their iPhones, though, is pretty low, partly because customers can get insurance from their carriers or retailers.

“AppleCare, if they're like anybody else, is insanely profitable.”

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Reuters: Amazon to cut 30,000 corporate jobs

Amazon is planning on cutting as many as 30,000 corporate workers starting on Tuesday, nearly 10% of its 350,000-strong corporate workforce, to “pare expenses and compensate for overhiring during the peak demand of the pandemic,” Reuters reports.

Last week, The New York Times reported Amazon’s plans to automate 75% of its operations in coming years, a move that could lead to 600,000 fewer hires.

“Without Elon, Tesla could lose significant value”

Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm sent shareholders a letter today pleading with them to approve CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package — which is tied to the company’s performance over the next decade — or risk losing him.

“If we fail to foster an environment that motivates Elon to achieve great things through an equitable pay-for-performance plan, we run the risk that he gives up his executive position, and Tesla may lose his time, talent and vision, which have been essential to delivering extraordinary shareholder returns,” Denholm wrote. “Without Elon, Tesla could lose significant value.”

Many have long tied Tesla’s success to retaining its longtime CEO, even Musk himself. Musk used Tesla’s earnings call last week to plea for approving his pay package, saying that it’s the voting control more than the money that’s important.

“If we build this robot army, do I have at least a strong influence over that robot army?” Musk said.

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Rani Molla

After Tesla earnings, prediction markets think unsupervised FSD is less likely than ever to be rolled out this year

Tesla’s unsupervised full self-driving technology, which would autonomously ferry passengers around without a human driver having to pay attention, is supposed to help catapult the electric vehicle company’s valuation further into the stratosphere. It was also supposed to be available this year, but prediction markets participants, as well as former Tesla self-driving leaders, no longer think that will happen.

On Teslas earnings call this week, CEO Elon Musk said the company now had “clarity” on achieving unsupervised full self-driving — something he’s repeatedly said would be available at least in some markets this year.

The comments seemed to give Polymarket prediction markets participants some clarity. There, the market-implied probability that Tesla will release unsupervised FSD this year reached its lowest point since the event contract was opened in May.

The odds of it happening had been pretty high up until late June, when Tesla’s long-awaited robotaxi launched with a safety driver in the passenger seat. The unsupervised FSD event contract specifies the feature can have “no requirement for human intervention.”

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