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Cryptoverse: Bitcoin remains the most mainstream asset

Cryptoverse: Bitcoin remains the most mainstream asset

Coinbase, the US-based crypto exchange, was requested by the SEC to halt trading in all cryptocurrencies except for bitcoin, according to an interview with the company’s CEO, Brian Armstrong.

Coinbase didn’t do that, with Armstrong stating that complying with the SEC's request “would have essentially meant the end of the crypto industry in the US” — another tight standoff between regulators and crypto companies in the industry’s short existence.

Bitcoin supreme

Relative to the crypto-mania of 2021, the space has had a relatively muted 12 months. NFTs have, thankfully, mostly disappeared, and the collapse of exchanges like FTX have sobered an industry that was once moving at breakneck speed. But, despite there now being over 22,000 cryptocurrencies available, with a total combined market capitalization of around $1.1 trillion, the original — bitcoin — is still by far the most prominent, with a market cap roughly equivalent to the next 99 largest cryptocurrencies combined.

Howey’s decision

The SEC's request to Coinbase would have meant delisting over 200 tokens that the exchange offers, leaving only bitcoin untouched. They arrived at that conclusion thanks to the regulator's preference for the Howey Test, which considers four criteria to determine if a transaction qualifies as a security.

According to Gary Gensler, the SEC's chair, "most crypto tokens are investment contracts under the Howey Test," placing them firmly under the SEC's regulatory umbrella. However, bitcoin stands apart in Gensler's eyes: he views it as a commodity due to its decentralized nature, thus exempting it from the Howey Test and placing it under the jurisdiction of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

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Jon Keegan

Judge blocks Pentagon’s move to blacklist Anthropic

A federal judge in Northern California has granted a preliminary injunction blocking the Pentagon from labeling Anthropic as a national security supply chain risk.

The ruling temporarily prevents the Defense Department from restricting the AI company’s access to federal contracts amid a dispute over its refusal to allow certain military and surveillance uses of its technology. The designation could also have shifted lucrative government work toward competitors, including OpenAI.

Earlier this month, Anthropic, the company behind Claude, sued 17 federal agencies and their heads, alleging the government exceeded its statutory authority.

tech
Rani Molla

Report: SpaceX’s record IPO may grant preferential access to retail investors and Tesla shareholders

SpaceX’s impending IPO could raise $40 billion to $80 billion and rank as the largest ever — as well as one of the most unconventional.

The Wall Street Journal reports several ways CEO Elon Musk is considering breaking with IPO norms:

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

  • Investors in his other companies, including Tesla, could receive preferential access to shares.

  • Individual investors may get a third or more of the allocation, far above the typical ~10% mark.

  • Instead of a traditional road show, Musk wants investors to visit SpaceX facilities in person.

tech
Rani Molla

Tesla released estimates for Q1 deliveries and they’re lower than analysts expected

Ahead of first-quarter earnings next month, Tesla released its own company-compiled Wall Street consensus estimate for deliveries: 365,645 vehicles. While that’s lower than the 382,000 FactSet consensus estimate, it represents a nearly 9% jump from Q1 2025, when Tesla sold 336,681 vehicles.

Tesla started releasing its own consensus estimates to the public — not just institutional investors — for the first time in Q4 2025. The move was seen as a way to temper investor expectations, as other estimates were too high. Last quarter, Tesla’s compilation was closer to actual numbers, which fell 16% year over year.

The market-implied odds from event contracts suggest 64% of traders think Tesla’s Q1 deliveries will be more than 350,000, 44% think it will be higher than 360,000, and just 21% have it at higher than 370,000.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.