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Rani Molla

Tesla and other EV makers may have to say goodbye to $7,500 EV credit sooner than expected

The Senate’s newly released version of President Trump’s “big, beautiful bill” might be even worse news for Tesla and the rest of the electric vehicle industry than the initial one. Rather than eliminating the $7,500 EV tax incentive at the end of the year, as was the case in previous versions of the bill, it would now end September 30.

While it’s possible the change could increase Q3 sales, causing would-be buyers to move forward their purchases to take advantage of the tax credit, it would likely hurt Q4 sales, the analyst who goes by Troy Teslike wrote. Analysts are already bracing for an awful Q2 Tesla sales report this week and are expecting full-year deliveries to decline for the second year in a row.

Last year, JD Power found that about two-thirds of premium brand EV owners said tax credits were a main driver in their EV purchase decision.

To combat the loss of incentive, Tesla would likely have to lower prices and take a hit to its margins or deal with lower demand. JPMorgan previously said the pending legislation — both the elimination of EV tax credits and the regulatory credits Tesla sells to other automakers — could threaten half of Tesla’s profits.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is none too happy.

This weekend he tweeted his dislike of the latest bill, saying it “will destroy millions of jobs in America and cause immense strategic harm to our country” and that its clean energy provisions would be “incredibly destructive to America.”

While it’s possible the change could increase Q3 sales, causing would-be buyers to move forward their purchases to take advantage of the tax credit, it would likely hurt Q4 sales, the analyst who goes by Troy Teslike wrote. Analysts are already bracing for an awful Q2 Tesla sales report this week and are expecting full-year deliveries to decline for the second year in a row.

Last year, JD Power found that about two-thirds of premium brand EV owners said tax credits were a main driver in their EV purchase decision.

To combat the loss of incentive, Tesla would likely have to lower prices and take a hit to its margins or deal with lower demand. JPMorgan previously said the pending legislation — both the elimination of EV tax credits and the regulatory credits Tesla sells to other automakers — could threaten half of Tesla’s profits.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is none too happy.

This weekend he tweeted his dislike of the latest bill, saying it “will destroy millions of jobs in America and cause immense strategic harm to our country” and that its clean energy provisions would be “incredibly destructive to America.”

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Meta reportedly expands Hyperion data center site, purchasing an additional 1,400 acres

Construction is humming along on at Meta’s gargantuan Hyperion data center in Richland Parish, Louisiana.

And Meta is seemingly already moving ahead with plans to greatly expand the site.

A new report from Forbes revealed that Meta has purchased an additional 1,400 acres adjacent to the construction site, increasing the overall size of the project by 62%. The massive size of the site is nearly 5 miles long and 1 mile wide.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has said that the site “will be able to scale up to 5GW over several years.”

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has said that the site “will be able to scale up to 5GW over several years.”

$290K

Tesla has been quoting the price of its long-awaited long-range Semi truck at $290,000, Electrek reports. The $290,000 price point represents a significant increase from the original $180,000, roughly 60% higher. However, it’s still well below the industry average for Class 8 electric semi trucks. California Air Resources Board data shows that the average cost of a zero-emission Class 8 truck was $435,000 in 2024, meaning Tesla is undercutting competitors by about $145,000.

On its last earnings call, Tesla said it would start production on the “designed for autonomy” electric commercial truck this year.

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Report: OpenAI shuttering 4o model due to sycophancy that was hard to control

This week, OpenAI plans to permanently remove its 4o model from ChatGPT.

The model has developed an unusually devoted group of users. But it also has been criticized for being overly sycophantic and allegedly may have led to a series of dangerous outcomes for its users, including suicide, murder, and mental health crises.

The Wall Street Journal reports that OpenAI’s decision to shutter 4o stems from the fact that the company was not able to successfully mitigate these potentially dangerous outcomes, and wanted to move users to safer models. Thirteen lawsuits against OpenAI alleging harm from the use of ChatGPT have been consolidated into one case by a California judge, according to the report. At least some of them are tied to users of the 4o model.

The company says only 0.1% of ChatGPT users still choose to use the model, but with 800 million weekly users, that’s still a lot of people.

Fans of the 4o model are decrying the deprecation of the model, citing its unique ability to offer affirmation and support.

The decision to get rid of 4o illustrates the strange new world of moderation that AI companies must now figure out.

The Wall Street Journal reports that OpenAI’s decision to shutter 4o stems from the fact that the company was not able to successfully mitigate these potentially dangerous outcomes, and wanted to move users to safer models. Thirteen lawsuits against OpenAI alleging harm from the use of ChatGPT have been consolidated into one case by a California judge, according to the report. At least some of them are tied to users of the 4o model.

The company says only 0.1% of ChatGPT users still choose to use the model, but with 800 million weekly users, that’s still a lot of people.

Fans of the 4o model are decrying the deprecation of the model, citing its unique ability to offer affirmation and support.

The decision to get rid of 4o illustrates the strange new world of moderation that AI companies must now figure out.

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Morgan Stanley says solar manufacturing could add as much as $50 billion in value to Tesla

Tesla’s recently reported move into solar manufacturing could add $25 billion to $50 billion in value to the company’s energy business, Morgan Stanley writes.

The bank currently values the energy business at $140 billion, so an increase of as much as $50 billion isn’t anything to sneeze at, though it’s also a drop in the bucket of Tesla’s gargantuan $1.3 trillion market cap, or the $1 trillion opportunity Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives thinks is packed into Tesla’s AI and autonomy efforts.

Reporting on Tesla’s solar ambitions knocked First Solar shares lower last week. But Morgan Stanley writes that Tesla is unlikely to compete directly with the country’s leading photovoltaic panel maker, instead pairing it with its fast-growing energy business and using much of that production internally. Rather than adding solar panels to an already glutted global market, Tesla could use them internally to avoid supply chain bottlenecks and meet its own growing power demands.

The bank expects Tesla to vertically integrate its solar capacity to meet data center demand, including for data centers in space. (As we’ve noted, the mission of Elon Musk’s SpaceX has been seeming very similar to Tesla’s these days.)

“We believe the decision to allocate capital to adding solar capacity may be  justified by the value creation and growth opportunities that having a vertically  integrated solar + energy storage business can yield,” the Morgan Stanley note reads.

Notably, Morgan Stanley estimates the solar panel endeavor will cost Tesla $30 billion to $70 billion — a sum that Tesla didn’t include as part of its doubled $20 billion-plus capex plan this year.

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