Business
Airline economics

Airline economics

It's still no fun to be an airline operator.

That was the short version of the update that American Airlines gave investors this week as the company reported a $780m operating loss for the last quarter of 2021, which we've visualized above.

The grass was greener

That is the 8th quarterly operating loss that American Airlines has reported in a row — a far cry from the 31 straight quarters of operating profits that the airline reported from 2012 to 2019.

The impact of the pandemic can't be overstated. Passenger numbers are still down 20-30% relative to 2019, depending on the day, and although some costs (like aircraft fuel, landing fees and maintenance) have come down, it's been nowhere near enough to compensate. Salaries and wages or the depreciation of assets that are getting older, are a lot harder to quickly reduce.

The latest thorn in the airline's side has been crew cancellations (due to COVID-19) and bad weather. Over the 2 weeks starting Dec 25th, American Airlines had to cancel almost 1,500 flights.

The missing puzzle piece

Despite a tough start to the year, the company is optimistic about 2022, expecting capacity to be down only about 5% from 2019, but with one major question mark: corporate travel.

Justifying getting on a plane for a meeting is a lot harder than it used to be — and that's a problem for the airlines because corporate travel used to make up~40% of revenues. That's a big piece of the puzzle... and it's probably going to be missing for a while.

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Ford reportedly in talks to buy hybrid vehicle batteries from Chinese auto giant BYD

Detroit’s Ford and China’s BYD are said to be in ongoing talks to partner on an agreement that would see Ford buy hybrid vehicle batteries from BYD, according to reporting from The Wall Street Journal.

The report comes just days after President Trump toured a Ford factory in Michigan and implied openness to Chinese automakers coming to the US.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

Still life of Ozempic and Wegovy with weight scale.

Lawsuit alleges Lilly, Novo locked up telehealth to kill compounded GLP-1s

Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustdar estimated that around 1.5 million US patients are using compounded versions of the company’s drugs.

Handshake

Big Pharma enters 2026 with an appetite for deals

At the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, biotechs and Big Pharma signaled they’re primed for M&A this year, after a big year for deals in 2025.

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