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The “airline recession” is translating to lower airfares for consumers

The list of things that are cheaper than they were 15 years ago is pretty short — plane tickets are on it.

Tom Jones

Airlines are having a turbulent time of it at the minute, with the CEO of Southwest Airlines declaring that the industry is in a recession last week and a host of major US carriers deciding to scrap their outlooks for the year ahead.

One beneficiary of the industry’s wider struggles? Cost-conscious globetrotters on the lookout for cheap flights, as fares continue to plummet. In March, airline fares slipped 5.3% year on year, helping to cement it as one of the few categories tracked by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to have actually dropped in price over the last 15 years.

Airfares
Sherwood News

Indeed, the airfare category within the CPI is now 4% lower than it was 15 years ago, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

That’s a pretty stark finding considering that the wider basket of goods that makes up the headline Consumer Price Index figure, or CPI — pretty much what almost every commentator is referencing when they talk about US inflation — has risen 47.6% since 2010.

Though it’s worth noting that the Bureau’s inflation figures don’t always mean prices are falling in real terms — TVs, for example, get all sorts of quality adjustments (screen size being one) which affect the CPI figures — the BLS doesn’t make any adjustments to airline fares. So, the cost of your economy seat really is cheaper than it was 15 years ago.

The tight competition between major competitors in the air space, which recently saw American Airlines buckle to meet demands for free Wi-Fi (long the norm at other carriers), has helped to keep prices from soaring in the modern era of aviation.

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China’s EV startup trio have all become profitable

China’s EV startup trio, Nio, Li Auto, and XPeng, are now all profitable, following the latter’s Q4 results released Friday.

XPeng reported a quarterly net profit of about $55 million, compared to rival Nio’s Q4 net profit (also its first) of about $40 million. Li Auto posted Q4 net profit of less than $1 million.

All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

Still, it’s not all rosy for China’s EV startups, either. XPeng ADRs were down more than 6% in Friday morning trading as its Q1 sales forecast came in below estimates. As China rolls back subsidies, auto sales are slumping. Chinese retail EV and hybrid sales fell 32% in February from the same month last year.

9.3%

As the war with Iran produces the biggest spike in US gas prices since Hurricane Katrina, car retailer CarMax is continuing to see heightened interest in EVs, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids.

“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

Walt Disney Chairman And CEO Bob Iger Rings Opening Bell At NY Stock Exchange

It’s the end of Disney’s Iger era (again)

Incoming CEO Josh D’Amaro is replacing Bob Iger on Wednesday, though Iger will remain a senior adviser through the end of the year.

$35.4B

The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have cost automakers at least $35.4 billion since the start of 2025, according to a new analysis by Automotive News.

That total will continue to climb this year, since the Supreme Court’s February tariff ruling largely leaves the 25% levy on vehicles and auto parts untouched.

Toyota has taken the biggest hit, projecting more than $9 billion in tariff costs in its fiscal year ending this month, while Detroit’s big three automakers — Ford, GM, and Stellantis — were hit with a combined $6.5 billion tariff charge in 2025.

In the fourth quarter, automakers sold about 8% fewer imported vehicles in the US compared to the same period a year ago, per the Automotive News Research & Data Center.

Tariff charges come at a rough time for legacy carmakers, which are also scaling back EV plans following the Trump administration’s elimination of tax credits and fuel standard goals. According to Automotive News, the cost of EV write-downs and restructuring is, so far, nearly $70 billion.

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