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Are importers front-running pharma tariffs?

Pharmaceutical products imported to the US in January and February reached $37 billion, compared to $31 billion during the same period last year.

J. Edward Moreno

Pharmaceutical products rushed into US ports in the first two months of this year as the threat of tariffs on the industry looms.

Pharmaceutical products imported to the US in January and February reached $37 billion, compared to $31 billion during the same period last year. Ireland, the largest exporter of pharmaceuticals to the US by value, saw its exports reach all-time highs at the start of the year as well.

Pharmaceutical products are normally excluded from tariffs due to a World Trade Organization agreement that the US signed in 1994. The industry was spared from the initial Liberation Day tariff announcement despite President Trump saying in his speech that drugmakers were a target. But Trump hasnt let up on the threats and the Commerce Department filed a notice to the Federal Register on Monday saying it was investigating tariffs on pharmaceuticals.

Ireland and other European countries primarily export research-based name-brand drugs. Eli Lilly, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson manufacture in Ireland and Novo Nordisk makes some of its most popular drugs, like Ozempic, in Denmark.

While European pharmaceuticals have a higher dollar value, generic drugs, which are predominantly made in India and China, account for 90% of prescriptions in the US. Companies that make those drugs operate on slimmer margins and have said their only option in the event of tariffs would be to raise prices.

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Shares of eBay fell as much as 10.5% in premarket trading on Thursday morning after the company gave a lower-than-expected profit forecast for the important holiday shopping season.

The e-commerce giant reported solid numbers for the third quarter on Wednesday, with revenue up 9% as reported to $2.8 billion and gross merchandise volume rising 10% to $20.1 billion, topping the average analyst forecast of $19.4 billion, per Bloomberg.

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eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

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However, concerns about the future somewhat overshadowed these results.

eBay outlined its profit outlook for the period ending in December to $1.31 to $1.36 a share, with revenue at $2.83 billion to $2.89 billion. According to Bloomberg-compiled data, this broadly matches Wall Street’s estimates for the top line, but misses on the bottom line, with analysts forecasting EPS to come in at $1.39 — suggesting the company expects some further margin pressure.

The company has been facing macroeconomic challenges since the US ended the de minimis tariff exemption in late August, with the online marketplace reliant on shipments. One small silver lining? CFO Peggy Alford highlighted a “less durable trend” on a post-earnings call: that as commodity prices for precious metals boomed, demand for bullion and collectible coins on eBay spiked.

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