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McDonald's Meal
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McDonald’s says meat packers are greedflating the price of beef

The fast-food giant is claiming that meat packers have colluded to artificially raise the price of beef. But the US is actually dealing with a cattle shortage.

McDonald’s didn’t want to raise the price of a Big Mac beyond recognition and turn their back on their value-focused consumer base. It was the meat-packing companies that made them do it! 

That’s what the fast-food giant is alleging in a lawsuit filed Friday, accusing nine major American meat-packers – among them Tyson, JBS, and Cargill – of artificially inflating the price of beef.

The legal spat comes at a turning point for McDonald's.

The average price of a McDonald’s menu item is up 40% since 2019. That has caused its customer base, which has come to rely on it for a cheap meal, to pull back. The Golden Arches have tried to lure them back through value meals

McDonald’s said the companies started their scheme in 2015 when their profit margins on beef began to shrink. They all agreed to reduce their slaughter volumes and reduce the supply of beef, which would push up prices and improve margins, even amid high demand, McDonald’s alleges.  

“In a competitive environment, absent a conspiracy, [the meat-packers] would compete to secure as much cattle as possible to expand profitable production,” McDonald’s alleged in its lawsuit. “Instead, [the meat-packers] continued to collude to limit slaughter volumes despite market conditions that encouraged market participants to increase, not decrease, slaughter volumes.”

But actually, there is less cattle supply than there used to be, which economists generally attribute as the reason beef prices have soared.

Meat-packers like Tyson and JBS buy cattle from farmers then process it to products sold in supermarkets or to restaurants like McDonald’s. Tyson and JBS (the only two public companies listed in the complaint) have consistently cited a shortage in the supply of cattle for their higher beef prices.

That’s in line with the American Farm Bureau Federation’s explanation, which is that beef prices have gone sky-high because cattle inventory has gone down and the market isn’t giving farmers incentives to grow their herds.

Persistent drought, high interest, and an aging farmer population are among the reasons it’s become harder for farmers to grow their herds. Cattle inventories are down to a fraction of what they were a generation ago, according to the Department of Agriculture.

Screenshot 2024-10-08 at 10.48.00 AM
Source: USDA

The handful of meat-packing companies listed in the lawsuit control the vast majority of the meat market in the US, and they have been accused of anticompetitive practices in the past.

In 2022, JBS agreed to a $52.5 million settlement in one claim from direct purchasers accusing it of price-fixing. Ranchers also unsuccessfully sued meatpackers, who they claimed artificially depressed the price they are paid for their cattle.

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All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

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“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

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The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have cost automakers at least $35.4 billion since the start of 2025, according to a new analysis by Automotive News.

That total will continue to climb this year, since the Supreme Court’s February tariff ruling largely leaves the 25% levy on vehicles and auto parts untouched.

Toyota has taken the biggest hit, projecting more than $9 billion in tariff costs in its fiscal year ending this month, while Detroit’s big three automakers — Ford, GM, and Stellantis — were hit with a combined $6.5 billion tariff charge in 2025.

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