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Middle East destruction
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As Mideast war expands, Palantir rises

Palantir is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 over the last three months.

The market keeps moving, even amid the spiraling tragedy in the Middle East.

The rapid deterioration of the situation — which over just the last few weeks has evolved from a war in Gaza to include Israeli attacks on Hezbollah, and an incursion into southern Lebanon as well as retaliatory Iranian missile strikes on Israel (which the American military was involved in repelling) — has kept the overall market in a state of limbo for a couple weeks.

One of the exceptions, however, is Palantir Technologies.

In fact, the defense and intelligence software firm is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 over the last three months. Over the last year, the company’s shares are up more than 150%.

This is in part because of its admission to the S&P 500 last month. (Addition to such benchmark indexes typically creates a burst of buying activity, as index funds — and closet indexers — are essentially forced to buy the shares in order to ensure their performance mirrors the index.) Palantir, like utilities stocks, is also benefitting from excitement surrounding any and all things AI.

But Palantir — a name derived from the seeing stones known as palantíri in the Middle Earth sagas of J.R.R. Tolkien — also has significant ties to the Israeli defense establishment. The company held its first board meeting of the year in Tel Aviv, after which CEO Alex Karp traveled to Ministry of Defense headquarters to publicly sign a strategic partnership agreement, of which few details were known.

Bloomberg has reported that demand for Palantir’s services in Israel have risen since the Hamas attack of Oct. 7, 2023 — in which 1,200 were killed and over 200 hostages taken — triggered a Gaza conflict in which more than 40,000 have died.

“The world is on the precipice of what could be a very severe set of violent interactions in the Middle East,” Karp told analysts on the company’s most recent earnings call back in August, as it announced record quarterly sales and profit. “And it goes without saying that at Palantir, we know where we stand and we are very much supporting America and its allies in the Middle East, including Israel.”

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Netflix is down amid reports it’s leading the Warner Bros. bidding war as Paramount cries foul

Netflix’s charm offensive appears to be working.

Netflix is reportedly emerging as the leader in the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery after second-round bids this week, edging out entertainment juggernaut rivals Comcast and Paramount Skydance.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

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Delta says the government shutdown will cost it $200 million in Q4

The 43-day government shutdown that ended last month will result in a $200 million ding for Delta Air Lines, the airline said in a filing on Wednesday.

That’s about $100,000 per shutdown-related canceled flight. (Delta previously said it canceled more than 2,000 flights due to FAA flight reductions.) When the company reports its fourth-quarter earnings, the shutdown will lop off about $0.25 per share.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

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