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EA video game economics
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Video game economics aren’t what they used to be

EA is looking to the future, but its profitability still depends on the performance of past hits like The Sims and its sports franchises

Video game giant Electronic Arts (EA) — the company behind household hits like The Sims, Madden, Battlefield, and the FIFA series — held its first analyst meeting in 8 years on Tuesday.

Despite unveiling a number of projects; a social app, AI initiatives, and a Sims movie to be produced by Margot Robbie’s company, the event left analysts underwhelmed. Most disappointing for investors was the lack of financial detail on the company’s bigger goals, like doubling its audience to more than one billion by 2027. EA’s stock has slipped 3% this week, while the rest of the market has powered to record highs.

Now the largest pure-play publisher after Microsoft's acquisition of Activision Blizzard, EA continues to ride the success of its classic franchises. "College Football 25" lived up to its hype by shattering sales records, while "EA Sports FC" sold 11.3 million copies in its first week, proving that its rebrand away from FIFA hasn't killed its appeal. The ongoing prosperity of those cash cow titles is vital, as video game economics have changed dramatically in the last 10-15 years.

In the past, success in the gaming industry was straightforward. Make a game, generate buzz about it, and sell as many copies of it as possible. If it went well, you make a sequel and do it all again.

But, in 2024, the cost to the consumer rarely stops after they buy the game. EA's true financial engine is its "Live Services" segment — a broad term encompassing sales of extra content, subscriptions, in-game rewards, and other digital goodies. This accounted for 73% of the company’s revenue last year, fueling growth not just for EA but the entire gaming industry, which in the US is ~6X the size of the box office.

Developing a quality video game is expensive, EA spent an eye-watering $2.4 billion on R&D last year. But no matter how much you spend, the outcome is always unpredictable: many video games flop, and the competition is only getting fiercer — this year’s biggest hit is from a little known Chinese video-game studio.

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Ford dips as another large fire breaks out at the New York Novelis aluminum plant

Shares of US auto giant Ford are down more than 2% on Thursday morning following reports of another major fire at its primary aluminum supplier’s plant in Oswego County, New York.

Local media reported that a four-alarm fire broke out at the Novelis plant, which supplies 40% of the aluminum sheet for the US auto industry, on Thursday morning.

Last month, Ford said a September fire at the plant would hit its earnings by between $1.5 billion and $2 billion in the fourth quarter. The company said it would be able to mitigate about $1 billion of that next year.

As of 10:15 a.m. ET, local officials said the fire is under control and everyone had been safely evacuated. Novelis previously said it would be able to restart operations at the part of the plant most damaged by the September fire next month.

Last month, Ford said a September fire at the plant would hit its earnings by between $1.5 billion and $2 billion in the fourth quarter. The company said it would be able to mitigate about $1 billion of that next year.

As of 10:15 a.m. ET, local officials said the fire is under control and everyone had been safely evacuated. Novelis previously said it would be able to restart operations at the part of the plant most damaged by the September fire next month.

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