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Bitcoin ETFs hit 9-day positive streak, but fail to push price past psychological level of $80,000

The asset reached $79,400 on Sunday night, its highest level since January 31, but couldn’t sustain the rally and dipped to the $77,500 level Monday morning.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin once again flirted with the $80,000 level but failed to break through, despite Bitcoin ETFs continuing their winning streak, registering $823.7 million in inflows last week, according to SoSoValue.

The asset reached $79,400, its highest level since January 31, but then dipped to the $77,500 level Monday morning.

It was the ninth straight positive day and fourth consecutive week in the green for bitcoin ETFs. So far in April, the funds have registered $2.44 billion in inflows, their best month since October. Yet, while institutional participation has been supporting bitcoin’s price as it has been navigating geopolitical and macro risks for over two months, whether this can help it cross $80,000 remains to be seen.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, said that as ETF flows remain the dominant force in the market, the opportunity lies in recognizing the structural shift: retail cycles are no longer the main driver.

“The risk lies in the imbalance: a reversal in ETF flows would weaken support, while a macro shock could trigger rapid de-risking,” Misir said.

Nic Puckrin, CEO of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that bitcoin is struggling to break through the psychological barrier of $80,000 as it faces strong resistance, with key on-chain levels, including the true market mean and the average ETF cost basis, sitting right above this price.

“Whether it wins this battle will determine if it can push on toward $90,000 or reverses lower, paving the way for a final complete capitulation that will fully reset the market. Right now, bitcoin is stuck in a tug-of-war,” Puckrin said, adding that Monday morning’s flash crash wiped out over $68 million in long positions in just one hour.

Puckrin said that while April has been a good month so far for bitcoin, with higher highs and higher lows, this latest rally most likely marks the calm before the storm.

He expects to see a drop to the bear market range between $55,700 and $58,200 in the coming months, driven by a broader corporate sell-off by miners and digital asset treasuries.

“Without this final flushout, it’s hard to see a clear path to a fresh bitcoin bull phase,” Puckrin said.

Near-term, however, the macro narrative continues to shape bitcoin’s trajectory, and with negotiations with Iran stalling, short-term volatility will likely persist.

Pratik Kala, portfolio manager and head of research at Apollo Crypto, told Sherwood the picture remains supportive for bitcoin, “and I think we can cross 80K this week.”

The next targets Kala is eyeing are $82,000, then $88,000, with a view to reach $96,000 as a major resistance point.

“Timeframe is uncertain as anything is possible with how the war progresses, but the overall picture for BTC remains supportive,” Kala said.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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